Tanzania vs Madagascar: result 2-1 and analysis
African Nations ChampionshipGroup Stage - 3Kick-off on August 9, 2025 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Benjamin Mkapa National Stadium, Dar-es-Salaam
Full time
What was the result of Tanzania vs Madagascar?
Tanzania won 2-1 on August 9, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 13′C. MzizeTanzania
- 20′C. MzizeTanzania
- 34′525771Madagascar
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tanzania have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Madagascar have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 2025 | Mauritania(away) | 1-0 | African Nations Championship |
| Aug 2, 2025 | Burkina Faso(home) | 2-0 | African Nations Championship |
| Jul 27, 2025 | Senegal(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies |
| Jul 22, 2025 | Uganda(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies |
| Jun 11, 2025 | Eswatini(away) | 2-1 | COSAFA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 3, 2025 | Mauritania(home) | 0-0 | African Nations Championship |
| Jun 15, 2025 | Comoros(home) | 0-1 | COSAFA Cup |
| Jun 13, 2025 | Angola(away) | 1-4 | COSAFA Cup |
| Jun 9, 2025 | Eswatini(home) | 1-1 | COSAFA Cup |
| Jun 8, 2025 | Congo DR(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Tanzania win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Madagascar win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2025 | Tanzania 0-1 Madagascar | COSAFA Cup |
| Nov 14, 2021 | Madagascar 1-1 Tanzania | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Sep 7, 2021 | Tanzania 3-2 Madagascar | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
Last archived meeting: Tanzania vs Madagascar on Jun 7, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Tanzania score 0.8 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Madagascar score 0.9 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tanzania | 0.8 | 0.8 | 7 | 2/15 | 2/15 |
| Madagascar | 0.9 | 1.4 | 3 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tanzania sit 1st in African Nations Championship (10 points from 4 matches) and Madagascar sit 2nd (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tanzania | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 10 |
| 2 | Madagascar | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 7 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy