Tapatío vs Leones Negros UDG: result 2-0 and analysis
Liga de Expansión MXClausura - 4Kick-off on January 30, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Estadio AKRON, Zapopan
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What was the result of Tapatío vs Leones Negros UDG?
Tapatío won 2-0 on January 30, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 37′S. AguayoTapatío
- 46′J. GuzmánTapatío
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tapatío have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Leones Negros UDG have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | Tepatitlán(away) | 0-2 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Jan 16, 2026 | Venados FC(home) | 4-2 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Jan 10, 2026 | CA La Paz(away) | 2-2 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Dec 17, 2025 | Leon(away) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Dorados(home) | 4-1 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2026 | Correcaminos Uat(home) | 0-0 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Jan 18, 2026 | Irapuato(away) | 1-4 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Jan 11, 2026 | CDS Tampico Madero(home) | 4-1 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Jan 4, 2026 | Monterrey(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Dec 27, 2025 | Atlas(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Tapatío win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Leones Negros UDG win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2025 | Leones Negros UDG 1-1 Tapatío | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Jun 8, 2025 | Leones Negros UDG 1-2 Tapatío | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Jun 1, 2025 | Tapatío 1-0 Leones Negros UDG | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Jan 12, 2025 | Tapatío 2-3 Leones Negros UDG | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Dec 28, 2024 | Leones Negros UDG 3-0 Tapatío | Friendlies Clubs |
| Nov 18, 2024 | Tapatío 2-2 Leones Negros UDG | Liga de Expansión MX |
Last archived meeting: Leones Negros UDG vs Tapatío on Aug 23, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Tapatío score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Leones Negros UDG score 1.1 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tapatío | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Leones Negros UDG | 1.1 | 1.6 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tapatío sit 11th in Liga de Expansión MX (4 points from 3 matches) and Leones Negros UDG sit 5th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leones Negros UDG | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 6 | 12 |
| 5 | Leones Negros UDG | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 6 |
| 7 | Tapatío | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 7 |
| 11 | Tapatío | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy