Tarbes vs Châteaubriant: prediction and stats
National 2 - Group BGroup B - 17Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stade Maurice Trélut 2 - Terrain B, Tarbes
The Footlab AI model makes Tarbes the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Châteaubriant. The most likely score is 1-1. If Tarbes wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,793 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tarbes vs Châteaubriant?
A very open match: only 68 Elo points separate Tarbes (1,738) and Châteaubriant (1,670).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Tarbes vs Châteaubriant
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Tarbes
4-3-3- 9Y. Fellrath
- 6B. Ait Malek
- 11V. Delanys
- 7Sofiane El Bekri
- 33Alexandre Amorin
- 22M. Cato
- 31A. Ben Aicha
- 2J. Willock
- 4P. Bentayou
- 17Faris Sinare
- 1T. Navaux
Châteaubriant
Not enough data to predict the Châteaubriant lineup.
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 10:48 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tarbes have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Châteaubriant have 2, 5 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Avranches(away) | 0-2 | National 2 - Group B |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Dinan Léhon(home) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Les Herbiers(away) | 1-0 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Angoulême(home) | 1-2 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Châteaubriant(away) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Stade Briochin(home) | 1-1 | National 2 - Group B |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Le Poiré sur Vie(away) | 0-3 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Pontivy GSI(home) | 2-2 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Bayonne(away) | 1-2 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Tarbes(home) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group B |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Tarbes wins, 1 draw, 0 Châteaubriant wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026 | Châteaubriant 0-0 Tarbes | National 2 - Group B |
Last archived meeting: Châteaubriant vs Tarbes on Sep 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Tarbes score 1.5 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Châteaubriant score 0.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tarbes | 1.5 | 0.7 | 9 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
| Châteaubriant | 0.7 | 1.7 | 3 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tarbes sit 10th in National 2 - Group B (9 points from 7 matches) and Châteaubriant sit 15th (4 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Tarbes | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 |
| 15 | Châteaubriant | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 4 |
A question about Tarbes vs Châteaubriant?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tarbes vs Châteaubriant?
- The Footlab AI model makes Tarbes the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Châteaubriant.
- Where and when is Tarbes vs Châteaubriant played?
- Tarbes vs Châteaubriant is played on February 13, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Maurice Trélut 2 - Terrain B, in the National 2 - Group B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.