Tarbes vs Fréjus St-Raphaël: result 2-1 and analysis
National 2 - Group DRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 29, 2016 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade Maurice Trélut 2 - Terrain B, Tarbes
Full time
What was the result of Tarbes vs Fréjus St-Raphaël?
Tarbes won 2-1 on October 29, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 64′B. DumasFréjus St-Raphaël
- 79′Milan NikolićTarbes
- 84′M. DelgadoTarbes (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tarbes have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Fréjus St-Raphaël have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2016 | Colomiers(away) | 3-3 | National 2 - Group D |
| Oct 1, 2016 | Toulon(home) | 0-1 | National 2 - Group D |
| Sep 17, 2016 | Marignane(away) | 3-0 | National 2 - Group D |
| Sep 10, 2016 | Montpellier II(home) | 1-2 | National 2 - Group D |
| Sep 3, 2016 | Le Pontet US(away) | 1-0 | National 2 - Group D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1, 2016 | Colomiers(away) | 1-1 | National 2 - Group D |
| Sep 17, 2016 | Hyères(home) | 1-0 | National 2 - Group D |
| Sep 12, 2016 | Toulon(away) | 1-0 | National 2 - Group D |
| Sep 3, 2016 | Martigues(home) | 3-1 | National 2 - Group D |
| Aug 27, 2016 | Marignane(away) | 5-2 | National 2 - Group D |
How many goals should we expect?
Tarbes score 1.2 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Fréjus St-Raphaël score 1.3 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tarbes | 1.2 | 1.0 | 7 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Fréjus St-Raphaël | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy