Tartu Welco vs Elva: result 2-5 and analysis
Esiliiga ARegular Season - 15Kick-off on June 14, 2025 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Annelinna Gümnaasium staadion, Tartu
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What was the result of Tartu Welco vs Elva?
Elva won 2-5 on June 14, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 1′M. VillemsElva
- 9′M. VillemsElva
- 12′D. LaaneotsElva
- 16′M. MugraTartu Welco
- 26′E. IlvesElva
- 66′546723Tartu Welco
- 78′D. LehterElva
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tartu Welco have 10 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeats; Elva have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 11, 2025 | Kuusalu Kalev(home) | 16-0 | Cup |
| Jun 2, 2025 | Tallinna Kalev II(away) | 2-1 | Esiliiga A |
| May 29, 2025 | FCI Levadia II(away) | 3-3 | Esiliiga A |
| May 25, 2025 | Flora II(home) | 4-2 | Esiliiga A |
| May 15, 2025 | Nõmme United(home) | 1-1 | Esiliiga A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 11, 2025 | Tartu Kalev(away) | 2-1 | Cup |
| Jun 1, 2025 | FCI Levadia II(home) | 2-2 | Esiliiga A |
| May 29, 2025 | Flora II(away) | 1-0 | Esiliiga A |
| May 22, 2025 | FC Tallinn(home) | 1-1 | Esiliiga A |
| May 18, 2025 | Luunja(away) | 5-2 | Esiliiga A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Tartu Welco win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Elva win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2025 | Elva 3-1 Tartu Welco | Esiliiga A |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Elva 0-1 Tartu Welco | Esiliiga A |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Tartu Welco 0-0 Elva | Esiliiga A |
| Jun 2, 2024 | Tartu Welco 0-0 Elva | Esiliiga A |
| Mar 2, 2024 | Elva 1-0 Tartu Welco | Esiliiga A |
| Sep 11, 2021 | Elva 4-2 Tartu Welco | Esiliiga A |
How many goals should we expect?
Tartu Welco score 3.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Elva score 2.1 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tartu Welco | 3.1 | 1.2 | 5 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Elva | 2.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tartu Welco sit 1st in Esiliiga A (38 points from 16 matches) and Elva sit 4th (23 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tartu Welco | 16 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 47 | 19 | 38 |
| 1 | Tartu Welco | 25 | 17 | 3 | 5 | 74 | 35 | 54 |
| 4 | Elva | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 29 | 27 | 23 |
| 4 | Elva | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 42 | 37 | 37 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy