Elva vs Tartu Welco: result 3-1 and analysis
Esiliiga ARegular Season - 3Kick-off on March 15, 2025 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Elva linnastaadion, Elva
Full time
What was the result of Elva vs Tartu Welco?
Elva won 3-1 on March 15, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 44′M. VillemsElva
- 67′A. PajuElva
- 88′E. MottusTartu Welco (pen.)
- 90′A. PajuElva
Official lineup for Elva vs Tartu Welco
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Elva
- 4A. Bangura
- 9M. Villems
- 18K. Põldsaar
- 7A. Paju
- 15R. Jaagant
- 27D. Laaneots
- 5R. Jagodinskis
- 6V. Kütt
- 36E. Ilves
- 55G. Lani
- 1K. Kruus
Tartu Welco
- 9E. Mottus
- 20M. Mugra
- 70J. Petmanson
- 16A. Songisepp
- 95T. Saupold
- 21A. Vool
- 4M. Sossi
- 5R. Reesar
- 32R. Salu
- 33T. Teniste
- 22M. Agarmaa
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Elva have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Tartu Welco have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2025 | Nõmme Kalju II(away) | 2-0 | Esiliiga A |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Viimsi(away) | 3-3 | Esiliiga A |
| Nov 24, 2024 | Legion(home) | 6-0 | Esiliiga A |
| Nov 17, 2024 | Legion(away) | 3-0 | Esiliiga A |
| Nov 10, 2024 | Viimsi(home) | 2-3 | Esiliiga A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2025 | Tallinna Kalev II(home) | 1-1 | Esiliiga A |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Luunja(home) | 3-2 | Esiliiga A |
| Feb 12, 2025 | Trans Narva(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 2, 2025 | Tammeka(away) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 31, 2025 | Paide(away) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Elva wins, 2 draws, 2 Tartu Welco wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 28, 2024 | Elva 0-1 Tartu Welco | Esiliiga A |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Tartu Welco 0-0 Elva | Esiliiga A |
| Jun 2, 2024 | Tartu Welco 0-0 Elva | Esiliiga A |
| Mar 2, 2024 | Elva 1-0 Tartu Welco | Esiliiga A |
| Sep 11, 2021 | Elva 4-2 Tartu Welco | Esiliiga A |
| Jul 31, 2021 | Tartu Welco 3-0 Elva | Esiliiga A |
How many goals should we expect?
Elva score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Tartu Welco score 1.7 and concede 2.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elva | 1.9 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Tartu Welco | 1.7 | 2.2 | 3 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Elva sit 5th in Esiliiga A (50 points from 33 matches) and Tartu Welco sit 1st (74 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tartu Welco | 34 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 99 | 44 | 74 |
| 5 | Elva | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 50 | 51 | 50 |
A question about Elva vs Tartu Welco?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy