Elva vs Tartu Welco: result 3-1 and analysis
Esiliiga ARegular Season - 3Kick-off on March 15, 2025 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Elva linnastaadion, Elva
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What was the result of Elva vs Tartu Welco?
Elva won 3-1 on March 15, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 44′M. VillemsElva
- 67′A. PajuElva
- 88′E. MottusTartu Welco (pen.)
- 90′A. PajuElva
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Elva have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Tartu Welco have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2025 | Nõmme Kalju II(away) | 2-0 | Esiliiga A |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Viimsi(away) | 3-3 | Esiliiga A |
| Nov 24, 2024 | Legion(home) | 6-0 | Esiliiga A |
| Nov 17, 2024 | Legion(away) | 3-0 | Esiliiga A |
| Nov 10, 2024 | Viimsi(home) | 2-3 | Esiliiga A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2025 | Tallinna Kalev II(home) | 1-1 | Esiliiga A |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Luunja(home) | 3-2 | Esiliiga A |
| Feb 12, 2025 | Trans Narva(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 2, 2025 | Tammeka(away) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 31, 2025 | Paide(away) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Elva win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Tartu Welco win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 28, 2024 | Elva 0-1 Tartu Welco | Esiliiga A |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Tartu Welco 0-0 Elva | Esiliiga A |
| Jun 2, 2024 | Tartu Welco 0-0 Elva | Esiliiga A |
| Mar 2, 2024 | Elva 1-0 Tartu Welco | Esiliiga A |
| Sep 11, 2021 | Elva 4-2 Tartu Welco | Esiliiga A |
| Jul 31, 2021 | Tartu Welco 3-0 Elva | Esiliiga A |
How many goals should we expect?
Elva score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Tartu Welco score 1.7 and concede 2.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elva | 1.9 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Tartu Welco | 1.7 | 2.2 | 3 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Elva sit 4th in Esiliiga A (23 points from 16 matches) and Tartu Welco sit 1st (38 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tartu Welco | 16 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 47 | 19 | 38 |
| 1 | Tartu Welco | 25 | 17 | 3 | 5 | 74 | 35 | 54 |
| 4 | Elva | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 29 | 27 | 23 |
| 4 | Elva | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 42 | 37 | 37 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy