Tatabánya vs Pápai Perutz: prediction and stats
NB III - NorthwestNorthwest - 27Kick-off on May 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Grosics Gyula Stadion, Tatabánya
The Footlab model makes Tatabánya the favourite at 79%, against 13% for a draw and 8% for Pápai Perutz. The most likely score is 3-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tatabánya vs Pápai Perutz?
Tatabánya starts as the favourite with a 299-point Elo edge (1,606 vs 1,307).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tatabánya have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Pápai Perutz have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kapuvari SE(away) | 2-1 | Magyar Kupa |
| Aug 15, 2026 | SC Sopron(away) | 1-1 | NB III - Northwest |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Bicskei(home) | 3-1 | NB III - Northwest |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Puskás II(away) | 4-0 | NB III - Northwest |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Gyori ETO II(away) | 1-2 | NB III - Northwest |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Komárom(away) | 2-4 | NB III - Northwest |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Veszprém(home) | 1-1 | NB III - Northwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | 1908 SZAC(home) | 2-1 | NB III - Northwest |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Király SZE(home) | 0-1 | NB III - Northwest |
| May 24, 2026 | Haladás VSE(home) | 1-1 | NB III - Northwest |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Tatabánya win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Pápai Perutz win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2026 | Tatabánya 6-2 Pápai Perutz | NB III - Northwest |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Pápai Perutz 0-1 Tatabánya | NB III - Northwest |
| Feb 20, 2022 | Pápai Perutz 0-1 Tatabánya | NB III - Southwest |
| Aug 15, 2021 | Tatabánya 0-0 Pápai Perutz | NB III - Southwest |
Last archived meeting: Tatabánya vs Pápai Perutz on Apr 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Tatabánya score 2.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Pápai Perutz score 1.3 and concede 2.6. The model gives a 78% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tatabánya | 2.7 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Pápai Perutz | 1.3 | 2.6 | 1 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tatabánya sit 6th in NB III - Northwest (7 points from 4 matches) and Pápai Perutz sit 10th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Tatabánya | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 7 |
| 10 | Pápai Perutz | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tatabánya vs Pápai Perutz?
- The Footlab model makes Tatabánya the favourite at 79%, against 13% for a draw and 8% for Pápai Perutz.
- Where and when is Tatabánya vs Pápai Perutz played?
- Tatabánya vs Pápai Perutz is played on May 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Grosics Gyula Stadion, in the NB III - Northwest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 78% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.