TB vs Hoyvík: prediction and stats
1. DeildRegular Season - 24Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Við Stórá Stadium, Trongisvágur
The Footlab model makes TB the favourite at 49%, against 21% for a draw and 30% for Hoyvík. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win TB vs Hoyvík?
TB starts as the favourite with a 119-point Elo edge (1,148 vs 1,029).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, TB have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Hoyvík have 5, 0 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | EB / Streymur II(away) | 2-2 | 1. Deild |
| Aug 15, 2026 | B36 II(away) | 4-3 | 1. Deild |
| Aug 8, 2026 | ÍF II(home) | 0-3 | 1. Deild |
| Aug 1, 2026 | HB II(away) | 3-1 | 1. Deild |
| Jul 4, 2026 | EB / Streymur II(home) | 3-1 | 1. Deild |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | HB II(away) | 0-5 | 1. Deild |
| Aug 15, 2026 | B71(home) | 0-3 | 1. Deild |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Suduroy(home) | 1-0 | 1. Deild |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Víkingur II(away) | 0-2 | 1. Deild |
| Jul 4, 2026 | B36 II(away) | 3-1 | 1. Deild |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 TB win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Hoyvík win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | TB 3-1 Hoyvík | 1. Deild |
| May 14, 2026 | Hoyvík 2-5 TB | 1. Deild |
| Apr 15, 2026 | Hoyvík 4-1 TB | Løgmanssteypid |
| Oct 25, 2024 | Hoyvík 0-1 TB | 1. Deild |
| Jun 29, 2024 | Hoyvík 1-1 TB | 1. Deild |
| Apr 7, 2024 | TB 3-0 Hoyvík | 1. Deild |
How many goals should we expect?
TB score 1.9 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Hoyvík score 1.3 and concede 2.7. The model gives a 77% probability of over 2.5 goals and 75% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TB | 1.9 | 2.5 | 0 | 12/15 | 15/15 |
| Hoyvík | 1.3 | 2.7 | 3 | 7/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
TB sit 5th in 1. Deild (26 points from 20 matches) and Hoyvík sit 9th (19 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | TB | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 35 | 43 | 26 |
| 9 | Hoyvík | 20 | 6 | 1 | 13 | 32 | 59 | 19 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for TB vs Hoyvík?
- The Footlab model makes TB the favourite at 49%, against 21% for a draw and 30% for Hoyvík.
- Where and when is TB vs Hoyvík played?
- TB vs Hoyvík is played on September 19, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Við Stórá Stadium, in the 1. Deild.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 77% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.