Match

Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Iwaki: prediction and stats

J2 LeagueMatchday 18Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 05:00 AM (UTC)Ichigo Miyazaki Shintomi Soccer Field, Shintomi

Tegevajaro MiyazakiIwaki

The Footlab AI model makes Tegevajaro Miyazaki the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for Iwaki. The most likely score is 1-1. If Tegevajaro Miyazaki wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,760 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Iwaki?

On Elo ratings, Tegevajaro Miyazaki has 1,936 points and Iwaki 1,857.

58%24%18%
Tegevajaro Miyazaki winDrawIwaki win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Iwaki

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Tegevajaro Miyazaki

4-3-3
  1. 42K. Matsumoto
  2. 9K. Hashimoto
  3. 18Ryo Sato
  1. 8R. Yamauchi
  2. 99K. Murakoshi
  3. 47K. Okumura
  1. 24Y. Matsumoto
  2. 33K. Kuroki
  3. 45S. Tanaka
  4. 39Y. Shimokawa
  1. 1S. Mogi

Iwaki

4-3-3
  1. 9Y. Michiwaki
  2. 11T. Kato
  3. 38N. Kumata
  1. 14D. Yamaguchi
  2. 10R. Nishitani
  3. 13K. Fujii
  1. 35S. Fukaminato
  2. 22Y. Takahashi
  3. 5T. Kuwata
  4. 15H. Nakano
  1. 23M. Sasaki

Computed on November 14, 2026 at 06:58 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tegevajaro Miyazaki have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Iwaki have 6, 2 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Tegevajaro Miyazaki
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 14, 2026Albirex Niigata(away)3-1J2 League
Nov 7, 2026Tokushima Vortis(away)2-1J2 League
Nov 3, 2026Tochigi City(home)3-0J2 League
Oct 31, 2026Oita Trinita(home)2-0J2 League
Oct 25, 2026Montedio Yamagata(away)2-0J2 League
Iwaki
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 2026Montedio Yamagata(home)2-0J2 League
Nov 3, 2026Omiya Ardija(away)1-2J2 League
Oct 31, 2026Tochigi City(away)3-1J2 League
Oct 25, 2026Jubilo Iwata(home)1-1J2 League
Oct 21, 2026Shonan Bellmare(away)1-1J2 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Tegevajaro Miyazaki wins, 0 draws, 1 Iwaki win.

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 30, 2022Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1-0 IwakiJ3 League
Jul 2, 2022Iwaki 2-0 Tegevajaro MiyazakiJ3 League
Nov 29, 2020Tegevajaro Miyazaki 3-0 IwakiJapan Football League

Last archived meeting: Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Iwaki on Oct 30, 2022

How many goals should we expect?

Tegevajaro Miyazaki score 1.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Iwaki score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Tegevajaro Miyazaki1.81.149/158/15
Iwaki1.51.347/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Tegevajaro Miyazaki sit 6th in J2 League (29 points from 16 matches) and Iwaki sit 8th (23 points from 16 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Tegevajaro Miyazaki16853261729
8Iwaki16727262223

A question about Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Iwaki?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Iwaki?
The Footlab AI model makes Tegevajaro Miyazaki the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for Iwaki.
Where and when is Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Iwaki played?
Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Iwaki is played on November 21, 2026 at 05:00 AM (UTC) at Ichigo Miyazaki Shintomi Soccer Field, in the J2 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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