Tepatitlán vs Celaya: result 1-2 and analysis
Liga de Expansión MXClausura - 10Kick-off on March 10, 2023 at 01:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Gregorio Tepa Gómez, Tepatitlán de Morelos
Full time
What was the result of Tepatitlán vs Celaya?
Celaya won 1-2 on March 10, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 6′A. EscotoCelaya
- 76′R. MarínCelaya
- 90′É. RiveraTepatitlán
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tepatitlán have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Celaya have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2023 | Dorados(away) | 1-2 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Feb 22, 2023 | Mineros de Zacatecas(home) | 2-2 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Feb 19, 2023 | Leones Negros UDG(home) | 1-1 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Feb 9, 2023 | Alebrijes de Oaxaca(away) | 3-0 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Feb 2, 2023 | Monarcas(home) | 2-0 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2023 | Tlaxcala(home) | 1-1 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Feb 23, 2023 | Pumas Tabasco(away) | 1-0 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Feb 16, 2023 | Atlante FC(away) | 0-1 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Feb 8, 2023 | Dorados(home) | 4-2 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Feb 3, 2023 | Tapatío(away) | 2-2 | Liga de Expansión MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 0 Tepatitlán win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Celaya win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 10, 2022 | Celaya 1-0 Tepatitlán | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Jan 6, 2022 | Celaya 1-1 Tepatitlán | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Sep 9, 2021 | Tepatitlán 0-1 Celaya | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Jan 13, 2021 | Celaya 1-1 Tepatitlán | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Oct 8, 2020 | Tepatitlán 1-1 Celaya | Liga de Expansión MX |
How many goals should we expect?
Tepatitlán score 1.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Celaya score 1.2 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tepatitlán | 1.6 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Celaya | 1.2 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Tepatitlán | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 3 |
| 16 | Tepatitlán | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 0 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy