Celaya vs Inter Playa del Carmen: prediction and stats
Primera PremierRegular Season - 14Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 01:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Miguel Alemán Valdés, Celaya
The Footlab AI model makes Celaya the favourite at 60%, against 24% for a draw and 16% for Inter Playa del Carmen. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,404 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Celaya vs Inter Playa del Carmen?
On Elo ratings, Celaya has 1,963 points and Inter Playa del Carmen 1,881.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Celaya vs Inter Playa del Carmen
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Celaya
Not enough data to predict the Celaya lineup.
Inter Playa del Carmen
Not enough data to predict the Inter Playa del Carmen lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 01:57 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Celaya have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Inter Playa del Carmen have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Racing de Veracruz(away) | 1-2 | Primera Premier |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Jaguares de Chiapas(home) | 0-1 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Deportiva Venados(away) | 2-2 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Montañeses(home) | 2-1 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Chapulineros(away) | 1-1 | Primera Premier |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Jaguares de Chiapas(away) | 0-1 | Primera Premier |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Deportiva Venados(home) | 3-1 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Montañeses(away) | 2-3 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Chapulineros(home) | 0-0 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Tapachula(away) | 0-2 | Primera Premier |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Celaya win, 1 draw, 0 Inter Playa del Carmen wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | Celaya 0-0 Inter Playa del Carmen | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Inter Playa del Carmen 0-2 Celaya | Liga Premier Serie A |
Last archived meeting: Celaya vs Inter Playa del Carmen on Mar 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Celaya score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Inter Playa del Carmen score 1.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celaya | 1.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Inter Playa del Carmen | 1.0 | 1.3 | 7 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Celaya sit 5th in Primera Premier (13 points from 7 matches) and Inter Playa del Carmen sit 15th (4 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Celaya | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 13 |
| 15 | Inter Playa del Carmen | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 4 |
A question about Celaya vs Inter Playa del Carmen?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Celaya vs Inter Playa del Carmen?
- The Footlab AI model makes Celaya the favourite at 60%, against 24% for a draw and 16% for Inter Playa del Carmen.
- Where and when is Celaya vs Inter Playa del Carmen played?
- Celaya vs Inter Playa del Carmen is played on November 29, 2026 at 01:00 AM (UTC) at Estadio Miguel Alemán Valdés, in the Primera Premier.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.