Tepatitlán vs Leones Negros UDG: result 1-1 and analysis
Liga de Expansión MXClausura - 8Kick-off on March 1, 2025 at 01:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Gregorio Tepa Gómez, Tepatitlán de Morelos
Full time
What was the result of Tepatitlán vs Leones Negros UDG?
Tepatitlán and Leones Negros UDG drew 1-1 on March 1, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 32′Eduardo Pastrana ReyesTepatitlán
- 64′J. PérezLeones Negros UDG
Official lineup for Tepatitlán vs Leones Negros UDG
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Tepatitlán
- 17L. Loroña
- 24U. Cardona
- 5M. Hernández
- 18J. Gómez
- 23J. Venegas
- 25A. Soto
- 33Z. Muñoz
- 4E. González
- 13J. Saavedra
- 16Eduardo Pastrana Reyes
- 1R. Díaz
Leones Negros UDG
- 7É. Rivera
- 8C. Fierro
- 13A. Ocejo
- 6A. Organista
- 10É. Torres
- 28A. Bravo
- 2J. Sánchez
- 4A. Ledesma
- 5U. Torres
- 20B. Flores
- 30F. López
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tepatitlán have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Leones Negros UDG have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2025 | Celaya(away) | 1-3 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Tapatío(home) | 1-0 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Feb 8, 2025 | Atlante FC(away) | 0-1 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Feb 1, 2025 | Monarcas(home) | 3-1 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Jan 26, 2025 | Tlaxcala(away) | 2-2 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2025 | Cancún(home) | 1-0 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Feb 14, 2025 | Correcaminos Uat(away) | 3-1 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Feb 2, 2025 | Tlaxcala(home) | 5-1 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Jan 26, 2025 | Mineros de Zacatecas(away) | 0-0 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Jan 19, 2025 | Dorados(home) | 4-0 | Liga de Expansión MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Tepatitlán wins, 2 draws, 4 Leones Negros UDG wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 15, 2024 | Leones Negros UDG 1-0 Tepatitlán | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Apr 11, 2024 | Leones Negros UDG 3-2 Tepatitlán | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Aug 13, 2023 | Tepatitlán 0-0 Leones Negros UDG | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Jul 15, 2023 | Leones Negros UDG 3-1 Tepatitlán | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 28, 2023 | Tepatitlán 0-1 Leones Negros UDG | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Feb 19, 2023 | Tepatitlán 1-1 Leones Negros UDG | Liga de Expansión MX |
Last archived meeting: Leones Negros UDG vs Tepatitlán on Sep 15, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Tepatitlán score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Leones Negros UDG score 2.3 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tepatitlán | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 7/15 |
| Leones Negros UDG | 2.3 | 1.2 | 5 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tepatitlán sit 16th in Liga de Expansión MX (7 points from 15 matches) and Leones Negros UDG sit 2nd (30 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Leones Negros UDG | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 20 | 30 |
| 16 | Tepatitlán | 15 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 11 | 44 | 7 |
A question about Tepatitlán vs Leones Negros UDG?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy