Tepatitlán vs Tlaxcala: result 1-2 and analysis
Liga de Expansión MXApertura - 8Kick-off on September 20, 2025 at 01:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Gregorio Tepa Gómez, Tepatitlán de Morelos
Full time
What was the result of Tepatitlán vs Tlaxcala?
Tlaxcala won 1-2 on September 20, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 41′554577Tlaxcala
- 51′Christian Henrique Mota de Oliveira SilvaTlaxcala
- 90′550192Tepatitlán
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tepatitlán have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Tlaxcala have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 15, 2025 | Irapuato(away) | 0-0 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Sep 7, 2025 | Leones Negros UDG(home) | 1-1 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Correcaminos Uat(away) | 4-1 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Dorados(home) | 3-0 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Aug 17, 2025 | Tapatío(away) | 3-1 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2025 | Tapatío(home) | 1-0 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Alebrijes de Oaxaca(home) | 2-1 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Leones Negros UDG(away) | 2-2 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Aug 24, 2025 | Correcaminos Uat(home) | 0-2 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Aug 17, 2025 | Irapuato(away) | 0-3 | Liga de Expansión MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Tepatitlán win(s), 4 draw(s), 1 Tlaxcala win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2025 | Tlaxcala 2-2 Tepatitlán | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Aug 11, 2024 | Tepatitlán 0-0 Tlaxcala | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Apr 5, 2024 | Tepatitlán 1-1 Tlaxcala | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Oct 13, 2023 | Tlaxcala 0-1 Tepatitlán | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Apr 14, 2023 | Tepatitlán 0-0 Tlaxcala | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Sep 21, 2022 | Tlaxcala 2-1 Tepatitlán | Liga de Expansión MX |
Last archived meeting: Tlaxcala vs Tepatitlán on Jan 26, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Tepatitlán score 1.8 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Tlaxcala score 1.0 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tepatitlán | 1.8 | 0.9 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Tlaxcala | 1.0 | 1.6 | 2 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tepatitlán sit 16th in Liga de Expansión MX (0 points from 4 matches) and Tlaxcala sit 15th (0 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Tepatitlán | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 3 |
| 15 | Tlaxcala | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 | Tepatitlán | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 | Tlaxcala | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy