Tepatitlán vs Tlaxcala: result 3-2 and analysis
Liga de Expansión MXApertura - 5Kick-off on August 21, 2026 at 01:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Gregorio Tepa Gómez, Tepatitlán de Morelos
Full time
What was the result of Tepatitlán vs Tlaxcala?
Tepatitlán won 3-2 on August 21, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 29′G. OlveraTepatitlán
- 53′A. MorenoTepatitlán
- 75′B. CasasTepatitlán
- 90′I. GoveaTlaxcala
- 90′C. GonzálezTlaxcala
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Tlaxcala win at 45%: prediction missed. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 3-2.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Official lineup for Tepatitlán vs Tlaxcala
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Tepatitlán
- 11G. Olvera
- 31B. Casas
- 9L. Paez
- 22F. Sanguinetti
- 25A. Moreno
- 34J. Henestrosa
- 2G. Sanchez
- 6G. Baez
- 19S. Castaneda
- 28M. Lopez
- 30A. Gatica
Tlaxcala
- 10T. Figueroa
- 11D. Álvarez
- 19R. Camacho
- 6A. Iniestra
- 17Jesse Zamudio
- 23P. González
- 1I. Govea
- 2C. González
- 5J. Sancho
- 29M. Trejo
- 30Abraham Nuño Gómez
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tepatitlán have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Tlaxcala have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Alebrijes de Oaxaca(away) | 0-1 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Aug 8, 2026 | CA La Paz(home) | 0-5 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Correcaminos Uat(away) | 1-3 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Durango(home) | 0-1 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| May 31, 2026 | CDS Tampico Madero(away) | 0-2 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Dorados(away) | 2-2 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Alebrijes de Oaxaca(home) | 0-2 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Mineros de Zacatecas(away) | 1-3 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Leones Negros UDG(home) | 2-4 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Venados FC(home) | 2-2 | Liga de Expansión MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Tepatitlán win, 3 draws, 2 Tlaxcala wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | Tlaxcala 1-0 Tepatitlán | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Tepatitlán 1-2 Tlaxcala | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Jan 26, 2025 | Tlaxcala 2-2 Tepatitlán | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Aug 11, 2024 | Tepatitlán 0-0 Tlaxcala | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Apr 5, 2024 | Tepatitlán 1-1 Tlaxcala | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Oct 13, 2023 | Tlaxcala 0-1 Tepatitlán | Liga de Expansión MX |
Last archived meeting: Tlaxcala vs Tepatitlán on Mar 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Tepatitlán score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Tlaxcala score 1.1 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tepatitlán | 0.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Tlaxcala | 1.1 | 1.5 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tepatitlán sit 16th in Liga de Expansión MX (7 points from 15 matches) and Tlaxcala sit 8th (22 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Tlaxcala | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 27 | 22 |
| 16 | Tepatitlán | 15 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 11 | 44 | 7 |
A question about Tepatitlán vs Tlaxcala?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy