Ternana vs Novara: result 4-3 and analysis
Serie BRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 29, 2016 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Libero Liberati, Terni
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What was the result of Ternana vs Novara?
Ternana won 4-3 on October 29, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 2′F. CasariniNovara
- 15′G. Di NoiaTernana
- 22′F. AvenattiTernana
- 28′G. Di NoiaTernana
- 31′K. AdorjánNovara
- 66′F. AvenattiTernana
- 71′T. KupiszNovara
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 13 matches in all competitions, Ternana have 2 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Novara have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2016 | Avellino(away) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Oct 22, 2016 | Cesena(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Oct 17, 2016 | Trapani(away) | 2-2 | Serie B |
| Oct 9, 2016 | PRO Vercelli(away) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Oct 1, 2016 | Hellas Verona(home) | 0-3 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2016 | Bari(home) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Oct 22, 2016 | Avellino(home) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Oct 16, 2016 | PRO Vercelli(away) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| Oct 8, 2016 | Ascoli(home) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Oct 1, 2016 | Benevento(away) | 0-1 | Serie B |
How many goals should we expect?
Ternana score 0.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 13; Novara score 1.1 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ternana | 0.7 | 1.2 | 3 | 5/13 | 2/13 |
| Novara | 1.1 | 1.0 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 13 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy