Thes Sport vs Tienen: prediction and stats
First Amateur DivisionVV - 10Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Sportcentrum Tessenderlo, Tessenderlo
The Footlab model makes Thes Sport the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Tienen. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Thes Sport vs Tienen?
A very open match: only 78 Elo points separate Thes Sport (1,855) and Tienen (1,777).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Thes Sport have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Tienen have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2026 | K. Lierse S.K.(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 1, 2026 | St. Truiden(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Roeselare Daisel(away) | 1-3 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Diegem Sport(home) | 6-3 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Lyra-Lierse Berlaar(away) | 2-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Hoogstraten(home) | 1-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Knokke(away) | 0-2 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Dessel Sport(home) | 1-3 | First Amateur Division |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Spouwen-Mopertingen(away) | 2-0 | First Amateur Division |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Diegem Sport(home) | 5-1 | First Amateur Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Thes Sport win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Tienen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2026 | Thes Sport 0-0 Tienen | First Amateur Division |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Tienen 1-0 Thes Sport | First Amateur Division |
| Feb 9, 2025 | Tienen 3-2 Thes Sport | First Amateur Division |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Thes Sport 0-1 Tienen | First Amateur Division |
| Feb 11, 2024 | Tienen 4-0 Thes Sport | First Amateur Division |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Thes Sport 4-1 Tienen | First Amateur Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Thes Sport score 1.8 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Tienen score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thes Sport | 1.8 | 1.6 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Tienen | 1.5 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Thes Sport sit 5th in First Amateur Division (22 points from 12 matches) and Tienen sit 15th (11 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Thes Sport | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 6 | 22 |
| 15 | Tienen | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 23 | 11 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Thes Sport vs Tienen?
- The Footlab model makes Thes Sport the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Tienen.
- Where and when is Thes Sport vs Tienen played?
- Thes Sport vs Tienen is played on October 31, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Sportcentrum Tessenderlo, in the First Amateur Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.