Hoogstraten vs Thes Sport: prediction and stats
First Amateur DivisionVV - 13Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Sportcomplex Seminarie, Hoogstraten
The Footlab model makes Hoogstraten the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Thes Sport. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hoogstraten vs Thes Sport?
A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate Hoogstraten (1,895) and Thes Sport (1,874).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hoogstraten have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Thes Sport have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Tienen(away) | 1-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Ninove(home) | 3-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Zelzate(away) | 2-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Roeselare Daisel(home) | 1-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Lyra-Lierse Berlaar(away) | 0-2 | First Amateur Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2026 | K. Lierse S.K.(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 1, 2026 | St. Truiden(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Roeselare Daisel(away) | 1-3 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Diegem Sport(home) | 6-3 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Lyra-Lierse Berlaar(away) | 2-1 | First Amateur Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Hoogstraten win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Thes Sport win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2026 | Thes Sport 4-2 Hoogstraten | First Amateur Division |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Hoogstraten 0-0 Thes Sport | First Amateur Division |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Hoogstraten 0-2 Thes Sport | First Amateur Division |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Thes Sport 3-2 Hoogstraten | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 27, 2024 | Thes Sport 2-2 Hoogstraten | First Amateur Division |
| Oct 7, 2023 | Hoogstraten 3-1 Thes Sport | First Amateur Division |
Last archived meeting: Thes Sport vs Hoogstraten on Feb 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hoogstraten score 2.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Thes Sport score 1.8 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hoogstraten | 2.0 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Thes Sport | 1.8 | 1.6 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hoogstraten sit 6th in First Amateur Division (18 points from 11 matches) and Thes Sport sit 5th (22 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Thes Sport | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 6 | 22 |
| 6 | Hoogstraten | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 18 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hoogstraten vs Thes Sport?
- The Footlab model makes Hoogstraten the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Thes Sport.
- Where and when is Hoogstraten vs Thes Sport played?
- Hoogstraten vs Thes Sport is played on November 21, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Sportcomplex Seminarie, in the First Amateur Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.