Thisted FC vs Nykobing FC: prediction and stats
2. DivisionRegular Season - 6Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Sparekassen Thy Arena, Thisted
The Footlab model makes Nykobing FC the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Thisted FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Thisted FC vs Nykobing FC?
Nykobing FC starts as the favourite with a 209-point Elo edge (1,900 vs 1,691).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Thisted FC have 6 wins, 0 draws and 9 defeats; Nykobing FC have 12, 3 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Skive(home) | 0-1 | 2. Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | VSK Århus(away) | 1-3 | 2. Division |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FA 2000(home) | 0-1 | 2. Division |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Aabybro(away) | 9-1 | DBU Pokalen |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Middelfart(away) | 1-4 | 2. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Middelfart(away) | 3-2 | 2. Division |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Naestved(home) | 1-1 | DBU Pokalen |
| Aug 14, 2026 | B 93(home) | 4-0 | 2. Division |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Skive(away) | 3-2 | 2. Division |
| Aug 4, 2026 | B 93(home) | 2-0 | DBU Pokalen |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Thisted FC win(s), 4 draw(s), 0 Nykobing FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 14, 2025 | Nykobing FC 1-2 Thisted FC | 2. Division |
| May 9, 2025 | Thisted FC 1-1 Nykobing FC | 2. Division |
| Oct 27, 2024 | Nykobing FC 2-2 Thisted FC | 2. Division |
| Aug 18, 2024 | Thisted FC 1-0 Nykobing FC | 2. Division |
| Nov 11, 2023 | Nykobing FC 1-1 Thisted FC | 2. Division |
| Sep 23, 2023 | Thisted FC 2-2 Nykobing FC | 2. Division |
Last archived meeting: Nykobing FC vs Thisted FC on Jun 14, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Thisted FC score 1.6 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Nykobing FC score 2.8 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thisted FC | 1.6 | 1.4 | 4 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Nykobing FC | 2.8 | 0.9 | 6 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Thisted FC sit 12th in 2. Division (0 points from 4 matches) and Nykobing FC sit 2nd (10 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Nykobing FC | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 10 |
| 12 | Thisted FC | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Thisted FC vs Nykobing FC?
- The Footlab model makes Nykobing FC the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Thisted FC.
- Where and when is Thisted FC vs Nykobing FC played?
- Thisted FC vs Nykobing FC is played on September 6, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Sparekassen Thy Arena, in the 2. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.