Thisted FC vs Roskilde: prediction and stats
2. DivisionRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Sparekassen Thy Arena, Thisted
The Footlab model makes Roskilde the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Thisted FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Thisted FC vs Roskilde?
A very open match: only 90 Elo points separate Thisted FC (1,689) and Roskilde (1,780).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Thisted FC have 6 wins, 0 draws and 9 defeats; Roskilde have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Skive(home) | 0-1 | 2. Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | VSK Århus(away) | 1-3 | 2. Division |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FA 2000(home) | 0-1 | 2. Division |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Aabybro(away) | 9-1 | DBU Pokalen |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Middelfart(away) | 1-4 | 2. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Fremad Amager(away) | 1-1 | 2. Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Middelfart(home) | 1-1 | 2. Division |
| Aug 7, 2026 | B 93(away) | 2-1 | 2. Division |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Handelsstandens(away) | 5-0 | DBU Pokalen |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Naestved(home) | 2-2 | 2. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Thisted FC win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Roskilde win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 29, 2026 | Thisted FC 1-2 Roskilde | 2. Division |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Roskilde 0-1 Thisted FC | 2. Division |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Roskilde 1-2 Thisted FC | 2. Division |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Thisted FC 0-0 Roskilde | 2. Division |
| Nov 18, 2023 | Thisted FC 1-3 Roskilde | 2. Division |
| Oct 14, 2023 | Roskilde 2-3 Thisted FC | 2. Division |
Last archived meeting: Thisted FC vs Roskilde on May 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Thisted FC score 1.6 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Roskilde score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thisted FC | 1.6 | 1.4 | 4 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Roskilde | 1.9 | 1.5 | 1 | 13/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Thisted FC sit 12th in 2. Division (0 points from 4 matches) and Roskilde sit 4th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Roskilde | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 6 |
| 12 | Thisted FC | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Thisted FC vs Roskilde?
- The Footlab model makes Roskilde the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Thisted FC.
- Where and when is Thisted FC vs Roskilde played?
- Thisted FC vs Roskilde is played on October 4, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Sparekassen Thy Arena, in the 2. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.