Thiva vs Diagoras Agias: prediction and stats
Gamma Ethniki - Group 5Group 5 · Matchday 14Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Thivas, Thebes
The Footlab AI model makes Thiva the favourite at 35%, against 31% for a draw and 34% for Diagoras Agias. The most likely score is 1-1. If Thiva wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,522 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 12, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Thiva vs Diagoras Agias?
On Elo ratings, Thiva has 1,460 points and Diagoras Agias 1,624.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Thiva vs Diagoras Agias
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Thiva
Not enough data to predict the Thiva lineup.
Diagoras Agias
Not enough data to predict the Diagoras Agias lineup.
Computed on November 12, 2026 at 12:49 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Thiva have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; Diagoras Agias have 4, 3 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Tamynaikos Aliveriou(home) | 0-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Katsantonis Agrafon(away) | 2-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Karystos(home) | 0-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Diagoras Agias(away) | 0-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Kifissos(home) | 1-4 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Katsantonis Agrafon(away) | 3-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Karystos(home) | 2-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Fokikos(away) | 0-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Kifissos(away) | 0-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Thiva(home) | 1-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Thiva wins, 0 draws, 1 Diagoras Agias win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Diagoras Agias 1-0 Thiva | Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 |
Last archived meeting: Diagoras Agias vs Thiva on Oct 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Thiva score 1.0 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Diagoras Agias score 1.0 and concede 0.1. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thiva | 1.0 | 2.3 | 1 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Diagoras Agias | 1.0 | 0.1 | 6 | 1/7 | 1/7 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Thiva sit 11th in Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 (0 points from 2 matches) and Diagoras Agias sit 4th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Diagoras Agias | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 11 | Thiva | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 0 |
A question about Thiva vs Diagoras Agias?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Thiva vs Diagoras Agias?
- The Footlab AI model makes Thiva the favourite at 35%, against 31% for a draw and 34% for Diagoras Agias.
- Where and when is Thiva vs Diagoras Agias played?
- Thiva vs Diagoras Agias is played on December 20, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Thivas, in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.