Karystos vs Thiva: prediction and stats
Gamma Ethniki - Group 5Group 5 - 15Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Karystos the favourite at 63%, against 24% for a draw and 13% for Thiva. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,618 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Karystos vs Thiva?
Karystos starts as the favourite with a 203-point Elo edge (1,635 vs 1,432).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Karystos vs Thiva
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Karystos
Not enough data to predict the Karystos lineup.
Thiva
Not enough data to predict the Thiva lineup.
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 07:43 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Karystos have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Thiva have 1, 3 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Asteras Stavros(home) | 2-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Nea Artaki(home) | 2-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | A. Schimatari(away) | 1-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Diagoras(away) | 2-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Nea Artaki(away) | 1-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Diagoras Agias(away) | 0-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Kifissos(home) | 1-4 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Fokikos(away) | 1-3 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Agios Nikolaos(home) | 0-3 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Apr 16, 2025 | Nea Ionia(away) | 0-6 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
How many goals should we expect?
Karystos score 1.0 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Thiva score 1.0 and concede 2.4. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karystos | 1.0 | 0.9 | 6 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Thiva | 1.0 | 2.4 | 0 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Karystos sit 5th in Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 (3 points from 2 matches) and Thiva sit 11th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Karystos | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 11 | Thiva | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 0 |
A question about Karystos vs Thiva?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Karystos vs Thiva?
- The Footlab AI model makes Karystos the favourite at 63%, against 24% for a draw and 13% for Thiva.
- Where and when is Karystos vs Thiva played?
- Karystos vs Thiva is played on January 10, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.