Thyella Katsikas vs PAS Giannina: prediction and stats
Gamma Ethniki - Group 3Group 3 - 2Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Gípedo Kátsika, Katsikas
The Footlab model makes Thyella Katsikas the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for PAS Giannina. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Thyella Katsikas vs PAS Giannina?
A very open match: only 75 Elo points separate Thyella Katsikas (1,485) and PAS Giannina (1,559).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Thyella Katsikas have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; PAS Giannina have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 7, 2024 | Larisa(home) | 0-3 | Cup |
| Apr 28, 2024 | Astir Stavros(home) | 3-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Apr 24, 2024 | Trikala(away) | 0-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Vataniakos(home) | 4-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Apr 14, 2024 | Svoronos(away) | 2-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Kampaniakos Chalastra(home) | 4-3 | Super League 2 |
| Apr 22, 2026 | Nestos Chrisoupolis(away) | 0-1 | Super League 2 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Kavala(home) | 3-1 | Super League 2 |
| Apr 8, 2026 | PAOK II(away) | 1-2 | Super League 2 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Makedonikos Neapolis(home) | 2-2 | Super League 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Thyella Katsikas score 1.4 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; PAS Giannina score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thyella Katsikas | 1.4 | 1.0 | 7 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| PAS Giannina | 1.1 | 1.7 | 2 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Thyella Katsikas vs PAS Giannina?
- The Footlab model makes Thyella Katsikas the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for PAS Giannina.
- Where and when is Thyella Katsikas vs PAS Giannina played?
- Thyella Katsikas vs PAS Giannina is played on October 4, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Gípedo Kátsika, in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.