Match

Veria vs Vatolakkos: prediction and stats

Gamma Ethniki - Group 3Group 3 - 2Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Verias, Veroia (Veria)

VeriaVatolakkos

The Footlab model makes Veria the favourite at 54%, against 27% for a draw and 19% for Vatolakkos. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Veria vs Vatolakkos?

Veria win54 %
Draw27 %
Vatolakkos win19 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Veria have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Vatolakkos have 0, 0 and 0.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Veria
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 8, 2026Pierikos(away)3-0Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Apr 5, 2026Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou(home)0-1Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Apr 1, 2026Ermis Exochi(away)2-2Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Mar 28, 2026Apollon Pontou(away)0-1Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Mar 22, 2026Alexandreia(home)1-0Gamma Ethniki - Group 2

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Veria vs Vatolakkos?
The Footlab model makes Veria the favourite at 54%, against 27% for a draw and 19% for Vatolakkos.
Where and when is Veria vs Vatolakkos played?
Veria vs Vatolakkos is played on October 4, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Verias, in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 3.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Veria and Vatolakkos

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