Tigres de Alica vs Celaya: prediction and stats
Primera PremierRegular Season - 25Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 01:30 AM (UTC)Estadio Arena Cora, Tepic
The Footlab AI model makes Tigres de Alica the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Celaya. The most likely score is 1-1. If Tigres de Alica wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 4,847 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 7, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tigres de Alica vs Celaya?
A very open match: only 36 Elo points separate Tigres de Alica (1,945) and Celaya (1,980).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Tigres de Alica vs Celaya
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Tigres de Alica
Not enough data to predict the Tigres de Alica lineup.
Celaya
Not enough data to predict the Celaya lineup.
Computed on November 7, 2026 at 09:20 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tigres de Alica have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Celaya have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Tapachula(home) | 4-1 | Primera Premier |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Deportiva Venados(away) | 1-3 | Primera Premier |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Reboceros La Piedad(home) | 4-0 | Primera Premier |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Cordobés(away) | 0-1 | Primera Premier |
| Oct 4, 2026 | H2O Purepechas(home) | 1-0 | Primera Premier |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Los Cabos United(away) | 4-1 | Primera Premier |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Cordobés(home) | 2-1 | Primera Premier |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Racing de Veracruz(away) | 1-2 | Primera Premier |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Jaguares de Chiapas(home) | 0-1 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Deportiva Venados(away) | 2-2 | Primera Premier |
How many goals should we expect?
Tigres de Alica score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Celaya score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tigres de Alica | 1.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Celaya | 1.9 | 1.3 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tigres de Alica sit 5th in Primera Premier (17 points from 10 matches) and Celaya sit 3rd (19 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Celaya | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 9 | 19 |
| 5 | Tigres de Alica | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 11 | 17 |
A question about Tigres de Alica vs Celaya?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tigres de Alica vs Celaya?
- The Footlab AI model makes Tigres de Alica the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Celaya.
- Where and when is Tigres de Alica vs Celaya played?
- Tigres de Alica vs Celaya is played on March 20, 2027 at 01:30 AM (UTC) at Estadio Arena Cora, in the Primera Premier.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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- Mar 21, 2027IrapuatovsRacing de Veracruz
- Mar 21, 2027Lobos ULMXvsInter Playa del Carmen
- Mar 21, 2027Los Cabos UnitedvsMontañeses
- Mar 22, 2027H2O PurepechasvsJaguares de Chiapas
- Mar 23, 2027Zacatepec 1948vsTapachula