Match

Celaya vs Irapuato: prediction and stats

Primera PremierRegular Season - 26Kick-off on March 28, 2027 at 01:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Miguel Alemán Valdés, Celaya

CelayaIrapuato

The Footlab AI model makes Celaya the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Irapuato. The most likely score is 1-1. If Celaya wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,748 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Celaya vs Irapuato?

A very open match: only 29 Elo points separate Celaya (1,964) and Irapuato (1,993).

40%27%33%
Celaya winDrawIrapuato win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Celaya vs Irapuato

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Celaya

Not enough data to predict the Celaya lineup.

Irapuato

4-3-3
  1. 28J. Gamboa
  2. 8C. Cruz
  3. 36J. Salazar
  1. 10J. Rangel
  2. 34J. Ruiz
  3. 6E. del Angel
  1. 16R. Sandoval
  2. 27G. Martínez
  3. 3V. Alvarado
  4. 32R. Castellanos
  1. 35A. Cabañas

Computed on October 18, 2026 at 06:49 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Celaya have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Irapuato have 10, 2 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Celaya
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Racing de Veracruz(away)1-2Primera Premier
Oct 6, 2026Jaguares de Chiapas(home)0-1Primera Premier
Sep 26, 2026Deportiva Venados(away)2-2Primera Premier
Sep 20, 2026Montañeses(home)2-1Primera Premier
Sep 12, 2026Chapulineros(away)1-1Primera Premier
Irapuato
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Zacatepec 1948(home)2-0Primera Premier
Oct 11, 2026Tritons Vallarta(home)1-0Primera Premier
Sep 27, 2026Lobos ULMX(home)3-0Primera Premier
Sep 22, 2026Reboceros La Piedad(away)3-2Primera Premier
Sep 13, 2026Tigres de Alica(home)2-1Primera Premier

How many goals should we expect?

Celaya score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Irapuato score 2.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Celaya1.71.3410/1510/15
Irapuato2.01.358/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Celaya sit 6th in Primera Premier (13 points from 7 matches) and Irapuato sit 1st (18 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Irapuato660014418
6Celaya741212713

A question about Celaya vs Irapuato?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Celaya vs Irapuato?
The Footlab AI model makes Celaya the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Irapuato.
Where and when is Celaya vs Irapuato played?
Celaya vs Irapuato is played on March 28, 2027 at 01:00 AM (UTC) at Estadio Miguel Alemán Valdés, in the Primera Premier.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Celaya and Irapuato

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