Tikveš vs Struga: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Gradski Stadion, Kavadarci
The Footlab model makes Struga the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Tikveš. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tikveš vs Struga?
A very open match: only 77 Elo points separate Tikveš (1,622) and Struga (1,699).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tikveš have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Struga have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Skopje(away) | 1-1 | First League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Shkëndija Haraçinë(home) | 0-1 | First League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bashkimi Kumanovo(away) | 5-0 | First League |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Aresimi(home) | 5-1 | First League |
| May 25, 2026 | FK Rabotnicki(away) | 3-1 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Vardar Skopje(home) | 1-0 | First League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Skopje(away) | 1-1 | First League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Shkëndija Haraçinë(home) | 3-0 | First League |
| May 23, 2026 | Aresimi(away) | 0-1 | First League |
| May 15, 2026 | Vardar Skopje(home) | 0-1 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Tikveš win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Struga win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2026 | Struga 1-2 Tikveš | First League |
| Dec 5, 2025 | Tikveš 0-1 Struga | First League |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Struga 3-0 Tikveš | First League |
| May 17, 2025 | Tikveš 3-3 Struga | First League |
| Oct 30, 2024 | Tikveš 0-1 Struga | First League |
| Aug 11, 2024 | Struga 1-0 Tikveš | First League |
How many goals should we expect?
Tikveš score 2.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Struga score 1.4 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tikveš | 2.5 | 1.7 | 2 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Struga | 1.4 | 0.9 | 7 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tikveš sit 3rd in First League (7 points from 4 matches) and Struga sit 4th (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Tikveš | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 3 | 7 |
| 4 | Struga | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tikveš vs Struga?
- The Footlab model makes Struga the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Tikveš.
- Where and when is Tikveš vs Struga played?
- Tikveš vs Struga is played on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Gradski Stadion, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.