Struga vs Tikveš: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 16Kick-off on December 1, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Gradska Plaža Stadium, Struga
The Footlab model makes Struga the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Tikveš. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Struga vs Tikveš?
A very open match: only 72 Elo points separate Struga (1,694) and Tikveš (1,622).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Struga have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Tikveš have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Shkendija(away) | 1-2 | First League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Vardar Skopje(home) | 1-0 | First League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Skopje(away) | 1-1 | First League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Shkëndija Haraçinë(home) | 3-0 | First League |
| May 23, 2026 | Aresimi(away) | 0-1 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Skopje(away) | 1-1 | First League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Shkëndija Haraçinë(home) | 0-1 | First League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bashkimi Kumanovo(away) | 5-0 | First League |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Aresimi(home) | 5-1 | First League |
| May 25, 2026 | FK Rabotnicki(away) | 3-1 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Struga win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Tikveš win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2026 | Struga 1-2 Tikveš | First League |
| Dec 5, 2025 | Tikveš 0-1 Struga | First League |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Struga 3-0 Tikveš | First League |
| May 17, 2025 | Tikveš 3-3 Struga | First League |
| Oct 30, 2024 | Tikveš 0-1 Struga | First League |
| Aug 11, 2024 | Struga 1-0 Tikveš | First League |
How many goals should we expect?
Struga score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Tikveš score 2.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Struga | 1.3 | 0.9 | 7 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Tikveš | 2.5 | 1.7 | 2 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Struga sit 4th in First League (7 points from 4 matches) and Tikveš sit 2nd (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Tikveš | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 3 | 7 |
| 4 | Struga | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Struga vs Tikveš?
- The Footlab model makes Struga the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Tikveš.
- Where and when is Struga vs Tikveš played?
- Struga vs Tikveš is played on December 1, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Gradska Plaža Stadium, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.