Timişul Şag vs Metalurgistul Cugir: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 7Group 7 - 14Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Timișul Șag, Șag
The Footlab model makes Timişul Şag the favourite at 40%, against 23% for a draw and 37% for Metalurgistul Cugir. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Timişul Şag vs Metalurgistul Cugir?
A very open match: only 17 Elo points separate Timişul Şag (1,434) and Metalurgistul Cugir (1,452).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Timişul Şag have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Metalurgistul Cugir have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | CSM Reşiţa(home) | 1-3 | Cupa României |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Unirea Sântana(home) | 3-2 | Cupa României |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Progresul Pecica(home) | 1-0 | Cupa României |
| May 16, 2026 | Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii(home) | 4-3 | Liga III - Serie 7 |
| May 9, 2026 | Unirea Sântana(away) | 0-4 | Liga III - Serie 7 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | Jiul Petroşani(home) | 0-1 | Cupa României |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Hidro Mecanica Sugag(away) | 10-0 | Cupa României |
| May 22, 2026 | Minaur Baia Mare(home) | 3-3 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 15, 2026 | Sănătatea Cluj(away) | 2-3 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 8, 2026 | Unirea Tășnad(home) | 1-1 | Liga III - Play-offs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Timişul Şag win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Metalurgistul Cugir win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2025 | Timişul Şag 0-0 Metalurgistul Cugir | Liga III - Serie 7 |
| Sep 19, 2025 | Metalurgistul Cugir 2-0 Timişul Şag | Liga III - Serie 7 |
Last archived meeting: Timişul Şag vs Metalurgistul Cugir on Nov 28, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Timişul Şag score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Metalurgistul Cugir score 1.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timişul Şag | 1.7 | 1.7 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Metalurgistul Cugir | 1.7 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Timişul Şag sit 6th in Liga III - Serie 7 (34 points from 6 matches) and Metalurgistul Cugir sit 4th (40 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Metalurgistul Cugir | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 38 | 25 | 40 |
| 6 | Timişul Şag | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 34 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Timişul Şag vs Metalurgistul Cugir?
- The Footlab model makes Timişul Şag the favourite at 40%, against 23% for a draw and 37% for Metalurgistul Cugir.
- Where and when is Timişul Şag vs Metalurgistul Cugir played?
- Timişul Şag vs Metalurgistul Cugir is played on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Timișul Șag, in the Liga III - Serie 7.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.