Progresul Pecica vs Cetate Deva: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 7Group 7 - 14Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Pecica, Pecica
The Footlab model makes Progresul Pecica the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Cetate Deva. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Progresul Pecica vs Cetate Deva?
Cetate Deva starts as the favourite with a 104-point Elo edge (1,542 vs 1,438).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Progresul Pecica have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Cetate Deva have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | Timişul Şag(away) | 0-1 | Cupa României |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Uta Arad(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | Universitatea Alba Iulia(away) | 2-6 | Liga III - Serie 7 |
| May 8, 2026 | CIL Blaj(home) | 4-0 | Liga III - Serie 7 |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii(away) | 1-1 | Liga III - Serie 7 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 2024 | Unirea Alba Iulia(away) | 0-15 | Cupa României |
| May 18, 2024 | Filiaşi(away) | 2-0 | Liga III - Serie 7 |
| May 10, 2024 | Viitorul Şimian(home) | 2-2 | Liga III - Serie 7 |
| May 7, 2024 | Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii(away) | 1-3 | Liga III - Serie 7 |
| May 3, 2024 | Filiaşi(home) | 1-3 | Liga III - Serie 7 |
How many goals should we expect?
Progresul Pecica score 1.6 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Cetate Deva score 1.7 and concede 2.7. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Progresul Pecica | 1.6 | 1.8 | 3 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Cetate Deva | 1.7 | 2.7 | 4 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Progresul Pecica | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 38 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Progresul Pecica vs Cetate Deva?
- The Footlab model makes Progresul Pecica the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Cetate Deva.
- Where and when is Progresul Pecica vs Cetate Deva played?
- Progresul Pecica vs Cetate Deva is played on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Pecica, in the Liga III - Serie 7.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.