Progresul Pecica vs Cetate Deva: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 7Group 7 - 14Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Pecica, Pecica
The Footlab AI model makes Cetate Deva the favourite at 51%, against 21% for a draw and 28% for Progresul Pecica. The most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,356 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Progresul Pecica vs Cetate Deva?
Cetate Deva starts as the favourite with a 130-point Elo edge (1,660 vs 1,530).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Progresul Pecica vs Cetate Deva
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Progresul Pecica
4-3-3- SS. Borcea
- DD. RÄchitÄ
- AA. Capătă
- 11L. Bodri
- NN. Abdullahi
- MM. Arsene
- RR. Moraru
- TT. Bodri
- EEw. Wild
- SS. Aldan
- RR. Zamfir
Cetate Deva
4-3-3- AA. Stoica
- AA. Popescu
- NN. Modan
- GG. Stoi
- AAdrian Marian Bedea
- EE. Bloj
- AA. Doboş
- SS. Sabău
- DD. Giosu
- CC. Mocanu
- VV. Frumuzache
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 07:42 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Progresul Pecica have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Cetate Deva have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii(away) | 0-5 | Liga III - Serie 7 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | CIL Blaj(home) | 2-1 | Liga III - Serie 7 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Unirea Sântana(away) | 1-4 | Liga III - Serie 7 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Universitatea Alba Iulia(home) | 6-0 | Liga III - Serie 7 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Timişul Şag(away) | 0-3 | Liga III - Serie 7 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Metalurgistul Cugir(away) | 2-0 | Liga III - Serie 7 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii(home) | 5-1 | Liga III - Serie 7 |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Arges Pitesti(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 26, 2026 | CIL Blaj(away) | 5-5 | Liga III - Serie 7 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Unirea Sântana(home) | 0-3 | Liga III - Serie 7 |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Progresul Pecica wins, 0 draws, 1 Cetate Deva win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 11, 2026 | Cetate Deva 3-1 Progresul Pecica | Liga III - Serie 7 |
Last archived meeting: Cetate Deva vs Progresul Pecica on Sep 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Progresul Pecica score 1.9 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Cetate Deva score 2.0 and concede 2.6. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Progresul Pecica | 1.9 | 2.1 | 3 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
| Cetate Deva | 2.0 | 2.6 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Progresul Pecica sit 6th in Liga III - Serie 7 (10 points from 7 matches) and Cetate Deva sit 4th (12 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Cetate Deva | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 12 | 12 |
| 6 | Progresul Pecica | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 10 |
A question about Progresul Pecica vs Cetate Deva?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Progresul Pecica vs Cetate Deva?
- The Footlab AI model makes Cetate Deva the favourite at 51%, against 21% for a draw and 28% for Progresul Pecica.
- Where and when is Progresul Pecica vs Cetate Deva played?
- Progresul Pecica vs Cetate Deva is played on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Pecica, in the Liga III - Serie 7.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.