Tirana vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë: prediction and stats
SuperligaRegular Season - 10Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadiumi Selman Stërmasi, Tirana
The Footlab model makes Egnatia Rrogozhinë the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Tirana. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tirana vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë?
Egnatia Rrogozhinë starts as the favourite with a 116-point Elo edge (1,869 vs 1,753).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tirana have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Egnatia Rrogozhinë have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë(away) | 0-3 | Superliga |
| May 10, 2026 | AF Elbasani(away) | 3-1 | Superliga |
| May 6, 2026 | Vllaznia Shkodër(home) | 1-0 | Superliga |
| May 2, 2026 | Teuta Durrës(away) | 1-0 | Superliga |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Partizani(home) | 2-1 | Superliga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Tirana(home) | 3-0 | Superliga |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Lillestrom(home) | 0-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Shamrock Rovers(home) | 5-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Shamrock Rovers(away) | 1-3 | UEFA Europa League |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Celje(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Champions League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Tirana win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Egnatia Rrogozhinë win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë 3-0 Tirana | Superliga |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Tirana 3-1 Egnatia Rrogozhinë | Superliga |
| Feb 1, 2026 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë 0-1 Tirana | Superliga |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Tirana 0-1 Egnatia Rrogozhinë | Superliga |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë 2-0 Tirana | Superliga |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë 1-1 Tirana | Superliga |
Last archived meeting: Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Tirana on Aug 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Tirana score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Egnatia Rrogozhinë score 2.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tirana | 1.1 | 1.1 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 2.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tirana sit 10th in Superliga (0 points from 1 matches) and Egnatia Rrogozhinë sit 1st (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Tirana | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tirana vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë?
- The Footlab model makes Egnatia Rrogozhinë the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Tirana.
- Where and when is Tirana vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë played?
- Tirana vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë is played on November 1, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadiumi Selman Stërmasi, in the Superliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.