Tirsense vs Montalegre: prediction and stats
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group AGroup A - 8Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Abel Alves de Figueiredo, Santo Tirso
The Footlab AI model makes Tirsense the favourite at 41%, against 30% for a draw and 29% for Montalegre. The most likely score is 1-1. If Tirsense wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,495 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tirsense vs Montalegre?
A very open match: only 58 Elo points separate Tirsense (1,916) and Montalegre (1,858).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Tirsense vs Montalegre
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Tirsense
Not enough data to predict the Tirsense lineup.
Montalegre
4-3-3- NNuno Machado
- II. Boakye
- AAngola
- TTiago Luís
- CCarlos Moura
- HHélder Almeida
- ZZ. Ngom
- BBruno Rafael Antunes Ferreira
- EEdu Machado
- DDouglão
- BBruno Pio
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 11:06 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tirsense have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Montalegre have 3, 8 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | SC Braga B(away) | 2-3 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Mafra(away) | 2-2 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Brito(home) | 2-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Celoricense(away) | 1-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Vinhais(home) | 3-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Bragança(away) | 2-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Maia Lidador(home) | 1-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Sep 5, 2026 | SC Braga B(away) | 2-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Ponte da Barca(home) | 0-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Brito(home) | 2-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Tirsense win, 0 draws, 1 Montalegre win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2024 | Tirsense 3-0 Montalegre | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Nov 5, 2023 | Montalegre 2-1 Tirsense | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
Last archived meeting: Tirsense vs Montalegre on Mar 3, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Tirsense score 1.1 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Montalegre score 0.7 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tirsense | 1.1 | 0.6 | 10 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| Montalegre | 0.7 | 1.0 | 8 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tirsense sit 2nd in Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A (9 points from 4 matches) and Montalegre sit 8th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Tirsense | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| 8 | Montalegre | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 6 |
A question about Tirsense vs Montalegre?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tirsense vs Montalegre?
- The Footlab AI model makes Tirsense the favourite at 41%, against 30% for a draw and 29% for Montalegre.
- Where and when is Tirsense vs Montalegre played?
- Tirsense vs Montalegre is played on November 8, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Abel Alves de Figueiredo, in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.