Vinhais vs Celoricense: prediction and stats
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group AGroup A - 8Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal de Vinhais, Vinhais
The Footlab AI model makes Celoricense the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Vinhais. The most likely score is 1-1. If Celoricense wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,370 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vinhais vs Celoricense?
Celoricense starts as the favourite with a 184-point Elo edge (1,926 vs 1,742).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Vinhais vs Celoricense
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Vinhais
Not enough data to predict the Vinhais lineup.
Celoricense
4-3-3- 80Juninho
- 11J. Renteria
- LLucas
- 10D. Alves
- 7Didi
- 14Matchu
- 70J. Padi
- 13C. Mendes
- 17Diogo Miguel
- 18N. Pinto
- 99G. Machado
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 09:30 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 11 matches in all competitions, Vinhais have 0 wins, 0 draws and 11 defeats; Celoricense have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Os Limianos(home) | 1-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Fátima(away) | 1-4 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Vila Meã(away) | 0-4 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Chaves II(home) | 1-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Tirsense(away) | 0-3 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Vila Meã(home) | 0-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Bragança(away) | 1-6 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Chaves II(away) | 0-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Tirsense(home) | 2-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Pevidem(home) | 1-0 | Taça de Portugal |
How many goals should we expect?
Vinhais score 0.5 and concede 3.1 goals per match over their last 11; Celoricense score 0.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vinhais | 0.5 | 3.1 | 0 | 6/11 | 10/11 |
| Celoricense | 0.7 | 0.9 | 8 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 11 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vinhais sit 14th in Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A (0 points from 4 matches) and Celoricense sit 7th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Celoricense | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 14 | Vinhais | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 0 |
A question about Vinhais vs Celoricense?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vinhais vs Celoricense?
- The Footlab AI model makes Celoricense the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Vinhais.
- Where and when is Vinhais vs Celoricense played?
- Vinhais vs Celoricense is played on November 8, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Municipal de Vinhais, in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.