Tocha vs Penafiel: result 1-4 and analysis
Taça de Portugal2nd RoundKick-off on September 21, 2024 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Complexo Desportivo da Tocha
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What was the result of Tocha vs Penafiel?
Penafiel won 1-4 on September 21, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 32′?Penafiel
- 53′?Penafiel
- 67′X. SkukaPenafiel
- 72′?Tocha
- 78′Gabriel BarbosaPenafiel
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 4 matches in all competitions, Tocha have 1 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats; Penafiel have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 23, 2023 | Rebordosa(home) | 2-4 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 10, 2023 | Lusitano FCV(away) | 2-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 27, 2020 | Ançã(away) | 1-3 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 3, 2017 | Esmoriz(home) | 1-2 | Taça de Portugal |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 15, 2024 | FC Porto B(home) | 1-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 1, 2024 | Pacos Ferreira(away) | 3-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 25, 2024 | Tondela(home) | 2-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 18, 2024 | Vizela(away) | 2-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 11, 2024 | Oliveirense(home) | 4-3 | Segunda Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Tocha score 1.5 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 4; Penafiel score 1.7 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tocha | 1.5 | 2.3 | 1 | 3/4 | 3/4 |
| Penafiel | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 4 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy