Tochigi Uva vs V-varen Nagasaki: result 1-4 and analysis
J3 LeagueRegular Season - 9Kick-off on May 3, 2012 at 04:00 AM (UTC)Tochigi City Sports Park Stadium, Tochigi
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What was the result of Tochigi Uva vs V-varen Nagasaki?
V-varen Nagasaki won 1-4 on May 3, 2012.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 8 matches in all competitions, Tochigi Uva have 1 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; V-varen Nagasaki have 5, 1 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2012 | Honda(home) | 3-3 | J3 League |
| Apr 22, 2012 | Kanazawa(away) | 0-0 | J3 League |
| Apr 15, 2012 | Honda Lock(home) | 2-1 | J3 League |
| Apr 8, 2012 | FC Ryukyu(away) | 2-4 | J3 League |
| Apr 1, 2012 | Hoyo Oita(home) | 0-0 | J3 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2012 | Kamatamare Sanuki(away) | 1-0 | J3 League |
| Apr 22, 2012 | Sagawa Printing(home) | 0-0 | J3 League |
| Apr 14, 2012 | Biwako Shiga(away) | 4-1 | J3 League |
| Apr 8, 2012 | Blaublitz Akita(home) | 1-0 | J3 League |
| Apr 1, 2012 | Tokyo Musashino City(away) | 0-1 | J3 League |
How many goals should we expect?
Tochigi Uva score 1.0 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 8; V-varen Nagasaki score 1.3 and concede 0.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tochigi Uva | 1.0 | 2.3 | 2 | 4/8 | 6/8 |
| V-varen Nagasaki | 1.3 | 0.4 | 4 | 2/7 | 2/7 |
Over the last 8 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy