TOGB vs Vvsb: prediction and stats
Derde DivisieRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Sportpark Het Hoge Land Veld 1 Berkel, Berkel en Rodenrijs
The Footlab AI model makes Vvsb the favourite at 41%, against 22% for a draw and 37% for TOGB. The most likely score is 1-1. If Vvsb wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win TOGB vs Vvsb?
A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate TOGB (1,693) and Vvsb (1,737).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for TOGB vs Vvsb
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
TOGB
4-3-3- 7M. Le Fevre
- 9A. Bensalah
- 19M. El Yakoubi
- 21T. Azaroiali
- 6J. Zandbergen
- 8L. Zwarteveld
- 3G. Zandbergen
- 5M. van der Elst
- 13F. Eijgenraam
- 15J. Weegman
- 1M. Zwartveld
Vvsb
4-3-3- 11G. van Velzen
- 9J. van Nieuwkerk
- 20Segun Owobowale
- 14N. van Wetten
- 29Timo Wolters
- 1Mats Warmerdam
- 5Dion Hooi
- 28Dario van Breukelen
- 23Max Ossendrijver
- 8Tim Bloemendaal
- 25S. Hoogervorst
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 08:52 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, TOGB have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Vvsb have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Excelsior Maassluis(away) | 2-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Roosendaal(home) | 4-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Achilles Veen(away) | 1-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 23, 2026 | ROHDA Raalte(home) | 4-6 | KNVB Beker |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Noordwijk(home) | 0-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Blauw Geel(home) | 0-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Excelsior Maassluis(home) | 0-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Roosendaal(away) | 1-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Rijnvogels(away) | 1-0 | KNVB Beker |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Achilles Veen(home) | 2-1 | Derde Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 TOGB wins, 2 draws, 2 Vvsb wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Vvsb 1-3 TOGB | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| Oct 11, 2025 | TOGB 4-4 Vvsb | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Vvsb 2-1 TOGB | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| Oct 26, 2024 | TOGB 1-1 Vvsb | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| Mar 11, 2023 | TOGB 2-0 Vvsb | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| Sep 24, 2022 | Vvsb 3-0 TOGB | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
How many goals should we expect?
TOGB score 2.0 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Vvsb score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOGB | 2.0 | 2.3 | 2 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| Vvsb | 1.1 | 1.5 | 5 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
TOGB sit 15th in Derde Divisie (8 points from 9 matches) and Vvsb sit 16th (7 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | TOGB | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 21 | 8 |
| 16 | Vvsb | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 7 |
A question about TOGB vs Vvsb?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for TOGB vs Vvsb?
- The Footlab AI model makes Vvsb the favourite at 41%, against 22% for a draw and 37% for TOGB.
- Where and when is TOGB vs Vvsb played?
- TOGB vs Vvsb is played on October 17, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Het Hoge Land Veld 1 Berkel, in the Derde Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.