Where and when is Tokat Bld Plevnespor vs Zonguldak Kömürspor played?

Tokat Bld Plevnespor vs Zonguldak Kömürspor is played on October 11, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Yeni Erbaa Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 1.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Tokat Bld Plevnespor vs Zonguldak Kömürspor: prediction and stats

3. Lig - Group 13. Lig Group 1 - 6Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Yeni Erbaa Stadyumu, Tokat

Tokat Bld Plevnespor

Zonguldak Kömürspor

The Footlab model makes Zonguldak Kömürspor the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Tokat Bld Plevnespor. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Tokat Bld Plevnespor vs Zonguldak Kömürspor?

A very open match: only 78 Elo points separate Tokat Bld Plevnespor (1,537) and Zonguldak Kömürspor (1,616).

Tokat Bld Plevnespor win27 %

Draw28 %

Zonguldak Kömürspor win45 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tokat Bld Plevnespor have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Zonguldak Kömürspor have 7, 2 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Tokat Bld Plevnespor
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 18, 2026	Düzcespor(home)	2-0	3. Lig - Group 3
Apr 12, 2026	Yozgat Bld Bozokspor(away)	0-2	3. Lig - Group 3
Apr 5, 2026	Yeni Orduspor(away)	0-6	3. Lig - Group 3
Mar 29, 2026	Giresunspor(home)	2-0	3. Lig - Group 3
Mar 25, 2026	Pazarspor(away)	0-0	3. Lig - Group 3

Zonguldak Kömürspor
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 18, 2026	Yeni Orduspor(away)	4-3	3. Lig - Group 3
Apr 12, 2026	Giresunspor(home)	0-0	3. Lig - Group 3
Apr 5, 2026	Pazarspor(away)	3-3	3. Lig - Group 3
Mar 29, 2026	Fatsa Belediyespor(home)	2-1	3. Lig - Group 3
Mar 25, 2026	Artvin Hopaspor(away)	1-2	3. Lig - Group 3

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Tokat Bld Plevnespor win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Zonguldak Kömürspor win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jan 11, 2026	Zonguldak Kömürspor 2-0 Tokat Bld Plevnespor	3. Lig - Group 3
Sep 7, 2025	Tokat Bld Plevnespor 1-1 Zonguldak Kömürspor	3. Lig - Group 3
Oct 11, 2023	Zonguldak Kömürspor 2-3 Tokat Bld Plevnespor	Türkiye Kupası

Last archived meeting: Zonguldak Kömürspor vs Tokat Bld Plevnespor on Jan 11, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Tokat Bld Plevnespor score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Zonguldak Kömürspor score 1.6 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Tokat Bld Plevnespor	1.1	1.2	7	4/15	5/15
Zonguldak Kömürspor	1.6	1.2	4	7/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Tokat Bld Plevnespor vs Zonguldak Kömürspor?: The Footlab model makes Zonguldak Kömürspor the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Tokat Bld Plevnespor.
Where and when is Tokat Bld Plevnespor vs Zonguldak Kömürspor played?: Tokat Bld Plevnespor vs Zonguldak Kömürspor is played on October 11, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Yeni Erbaa Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.