Tokyo Musashino City vs V-varen Nagasaki: result 1-0 and analysis
J3 LeagueRegular Season - 4Kick-off on April 1, 2012 at 04:00 AM (UTC)Musashino Municipal Stadium, Musashino
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What was the result of Tokyo Musashino City vs V-varen Nagasaki?
Tokyo Musashino City won 1-0 on April 1, 2012.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 3 matches in all competitions, Tokyo Musashino City have 1 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats; V-varen Nagasaki have 2, 0 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2012 | Honda(away) | 0-1 | J3 League |
| Mar 18, 2012 | Kanazawa(home) | 1-2 | J3 League |
| Mar 11, 2012 | Honda Lock(away) | 3-2 | J3 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2012 | Sony Sendai(away) | 1-0 | J3 League |
| Mar 11, 2012 | YSSC(home) | 2-1 | J3 League |
How many goals should we expect?
Tokyo Musashino City score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 3; V-varen Nagasaki score 1.5 and concede 0.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tokyo Musashino City | 1.3 | 1.7 | 0 | 2/3 | 2/3 |
| V-varen Nagasaki | 1.5 | 0.5 | 1 | 1/2 | 1/2 |
Over the last 3 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy