Tolmin vs Bistrica: result 3-5 and analysis
2. SNLRegular Season - 28Kick-off on May 11, 2025 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Na Brajdi, Tolmin
Full time
What was the result of Tolmin vs Bistrica?
Bistrica won 3-5 on May 11, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 9′D. ZajšekBistrica
- 13′I. SvržnjakBistrica
- 32′T. PanićTolmin
- 33′K. TrdinBistrica
- 60′M. TavaresBistrica
- 82′I. SvržnjakBistrica
- 83′A. ZarifovićTolmin
- 89′M. PavloviÄTolmin
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tolmin have 2 wins, 2 draws and 11 defeats; Bistrica have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 7, 2025 | Triglav(away) | 0-5 | 2. SNL |
| May 3, 2025 | Rudar(home) | 0-4 | 2. SNL |
| Apr 25, 2025 | Brinje-Grosuplje(away) | 0-1 | 2. SNL |
| Apr 18, 2025 | Beltinci(home) | 0-2 | 2. SNL |
| Apr 11, 2025 | Gorica(away) | 0-2 | 2. SNL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2025 | Krka(home) | 2-1 | 2. SNL |
| May 3, 2025 | Bilje(away) | 0-0 | 2. SNL |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Tabor Sežana(home) | 0-0 | 2. SNL |
| Apr 19, 2025 | NŠ Drava(away) | 4-0 | 2. SNL |
| Apr 11, 2025 | Slovan Ljubljana(home) | 2-1 | 2. SNL |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Tolmin win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Bistrica win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2024 | Bistrica 4-2 Tolmin | 2. SNL |
| May 5, 2024 | Tolmin 4-1 Bistrica | 2. SNL |
| Oct 14, 2023 | Bistrica 0-1 Tolmin | 2. SNL |
How many goals should we expect?
Tolmin score 0.5 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Bistrica score 1.7 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tolmin | 0.5 | 2.5 | 2 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
| Bistrica | 1.7 | 1.3 | 6 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Bistrica | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy