Dob vs Tolmin: prediction and stats
3. SNL - WestWest - 14Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Športni Park Dob, Dob pri Domžalah
The Footlab model makes Dob the favourite at 57%, against 22% for a draw and 21% for Tolmin. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dob vs Tolmin?
A very open match: only 49 Elo points separate Dob (1,541) and Tolmin (1,493).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dob have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Tolmin have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Škofja Loka(home) | 4-0 | 3. SNL - West |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Tolmin(away) | 1-1 | 3. SNL - West |
| May 24, 2026 | Vipava(away) | 2-2 | 3. SNL - West |
| May 16, 2026 | Rudar Trbovlje(home) | 3-3 | 3. SNL - West |
| May 9, 2026 | Šencur(away) | 0-1 | 3. SNL - West |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Šencur(away) | 3-3 | 3. SNL - West |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Dob(home) | 1-1 | 3. SNL - West |
| May 23, 2026 | Žiri(away) | 3-0 | 3. SNL - West |
| May 16, 2026 | Vipava(home) | 0-0 | 3. SNL - West |
| May 9, 2026 | Zidgrad Idrija(home) | 3-0 | 3. SNL - West |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Dob win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Tolmin win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Tolmin 1-1 Dob | 3. SNL - West |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Dob 3-1 Tolmin | 3. SNL - West |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Tolmin 2-2 Dob | 3. SNL - West |
How many goals should we expect?
Dob score 2.1 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Tolmin score 2.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dob | 2.1 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Tolmin | 2.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dob sit 3rd in 3. SNL - West (4 points from 2 matches) and Tolmin sit 8th (2 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Dob | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Tolmin | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dob vs Tolmin?
- The Footlab model makes Dob the favourite at 57%, against 22% for a draw and 21% for Tolmin.
- Where and when is Dob vs Tolmin played?
- Dob vs Tolmin is played on November 14, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Športni Park Dob, in the 3. SNL - West.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.