Tolmin vs Brinje-Grosuplje: prediction and stats
CupRound of 16Kick-off on November 18, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Stadion Na Brajdi, Tolmin
The Footlab AI model makes Brinje-Grosuplje the favourite at 78%, against 12% for a draw and 10% for Tolmin. The most likely score is 1-3.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 6,072 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tolmin vs Brinje-Grosuplje?
Brinje-Grosuplje starts as the favourite with a 183-point Elo edge (1,781 vs 1,598).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Tolmin vs Brinje-Grosuplje
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Tolmin
Not enough data to predict the Tolmin lineup.
Brinje-Grosuplje
4-3-3- 77Vuk Vlahovic
- 22Nal Koren
- 21E. Milosevic
- 10N. Jovićević
- 27J. Kurtič
- 49A. Kurtovič
- 72D. Ivkič
- 2K. Benkič
- 19S. Matjaž
- 28M. Kavcic
- 25J. Zrnec
Computed on November 15, 2026 at 01:41 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tolmin have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Brinje-Grosuplje have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Vipava(away) | 1-0 | 3. SNL - West |
| Nov 4, 2026 | Litija(away) | 2-0 | 3. SNL - West |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Adria(home) | 4-2 | 3. SNL - West |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Grad(away) | 3-0 | Cup |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Šobec Lesce(home) | 0-1 | 3. SNL - West |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Aluminij(home) | 1-0 | 1. SNL |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Mura(away) | 0-0 | 1. SNL |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Bravo(home) | 0-0 | 1. SNL |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Videm(away) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Koper(away) | 0-5 | 1. SNL |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Tolmin win, 0 draws, 4 Brinje-Grosuplje wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2025 | Brinje-Grosuplje 1-0 Tolmin | 2. SNL |
| Oct 11, 2024 | Tolmin 3-0 Brinje-Grosuplje | 2. SNL |
| Mar 17, 2024 | Brinje-Grosuplje 1-0 Tolmin | 2. SNL |
| Sep 4, 2023 | Tolmin 0-3 Brinje-Grosuplje | 2. SNL |
| Oct 14, 2020 | Tolmin 1-2 Brinje-Grosuplje | 3. SNL - West |
Last archived meeting: Brinje-Grosuplje vs Tolmin on Apr 25, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Tolmin score 2.1 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Brinje-Grosuplje score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 85% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tolmin | 2.1 | 1.0 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Brinje-Grosuplje | 1.1 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Tolmin vs Brinje-Grosuplje?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tolmin vs Brinje-Grosuplje?
- The Footlab AI model makes Brinje-Grosuplje the favourite at 78%, against 12% for a draw and 10% for Tolmin.
- Where and when is Tolmin vs Brinje-Grosuplje played?
- Tolmin vs Brinje-Grosuplje is played on November 18, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Stadion Na Brajdi, in the Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 85% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.