Tolmin vs Šencur: prediction and stats
3. SNL - WestWest - 15Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Na Brajdi, Tolmin
The Footlab AI model makes Tolmin the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Šencur. The most likely score is 1-1. If Tolmin wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tolmin vs Šencur?
A very open match: only 70 Elo points separate Tolmin (1,503) and Šencur (1,574).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Tolmin vs Šencur
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Tolmin
Not enough data to predict the Tolmin lineup.
Šencur
Not enough data to predict the Šencur lineup.
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 01:21 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tolmin have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Šencur have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Zidgrad Idrija(away) | 0-2 | 3. SNL - West |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Svoboda(home) | 2-0 | 3. SNL - West |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Rudar Trbovlje(home) | 5-1 | 3. SNL - West |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Izola(home) | 0-1 | 3. SNL - West |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Žiri(away) | 4-2 | 3. SNL - West |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Šobec Lesce(away) | 0-0 | 3. SNL - West |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Zidgrad Idrija(away) | 4-2 | 3. SNL - West |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Svoboda(away) | 1-0 | 3. SNL - West |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Rudar Trbovlje(home) | 3-0 | 3. SNL - West |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Izola(away) | 2-5 | 3. SNL - West |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Tolmin wins, 1 draw, 3 Šencur wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Šencur 3-3 Tolmin | 3. SNL - West |
| Mar 23, 2026 | Šencur 2-1 Tolmin | 3. SNL - West |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Tolmin 0-3 Šencur | 3. SNL - West |
| Sep 26, 2020 | Tolmin 0-1 Šencur | 3. SNL - West |
How many goals should we expect?
Tolmin score 2.4 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Šencur score 1.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tolmin | 2.4 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Šencur | 1.7 | 1.2 | 7 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tolmin sit 6th in 3. SNL - West (15 points from 9 matches) and Šencur sit 4th (16 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Šencur | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 17 | 11 | 16 |
| 6 | Tolmin | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 15 |
A question about Tolmin vs Šencur?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tolmin vs Šencur?
- The Footlab AI model makes Tolmin the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Šencur.
- Where and when is Tolmin vs Šencur played?
- Tolmin vs Šencur is played on March 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Na Brajdi, in the 3. SNL - West.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.