Tolmin vs Zidgrad Idrija: prediction and stats
3. SNL - WestWest - 22Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Na Brajdi, Tolmin
The Footlab AI model makes Tolmin the favourite at 62%, against 21% for a draw and 17% for Zidgrad Idrija. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,630 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tolmin vs Zidgrad Idrija?
Tolmin starts as the favourite with a 107-point Elo edge (1,545 vs 1,438).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Tolmin vs Zidgrad Idrija
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Tolmin
Not enough data to predict the Tolmin lineup.
Zidgrad Idrija
Not enough data to predict the Zidgrad Idrija lineup.
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 06:56 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tolmin have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Zidgrad Idrija have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2026 | Litija(away) | 2-0 | 3. SNL - West |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Adria(home) | 4-2 | 3. SNL - West |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Grad(away) | 3-0 | Cup |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Šobec Lesce(home) | 0-1 | 3. SNL - West |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Zidgrad Idrija(away) | 0-2 | 3. SNL - West |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Izola(away) | 1-2 | 3. SNL - West |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Žiri(home) | 1-0 | 3. SNL - West |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Škofja Loka(away) | 3-1 | 3. SNL - West |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Tolmin(home) | 2-0 | 3. SNL - West |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Šencur(home) | 2-4 | 3. SNL - West |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Tolmin wins, 0 draws, 2 Zidgrad Idrija wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Zidgrad Idrija 2-0 Tolmin | 3. SNL - West |
| May 9, 2026 | Tolmin 3-0 Zidgrad Idrija | 3. SNL - West |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Zidgrad Idrija 1-0 Tolmin | 3. SNL - West |
| Aug 28, 2024 | Zidgrad Idrija 1-2 Tolmin | Cup |
Last archived meeting: Zidgrad Idrija vs Tolmin on Oct 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Tolmin score 2.0 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Zidgrad Idrija score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tolmin | 2.0 | 1.0 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Zidgrad Idrija | 1.5 | 1.3 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tolmin sit 5th in 3. SNL - West (21 points from 12 matches) and Zidgrad Idrija sit 3rd (25 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Zidgrad Idrija | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 25 |
| 5 | Tolmin | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 15 | 21 |
A question about Tolmin vs Zidgrad Idrija?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tolmin vs Zidgrad Idrija?
- The Footlab AI model makes Tolmin the favourite at 62%, against 21% for a draw and 17% for Zidgrad Idrija.
- Where and when is Tolmin vs Zidgrad Idrija played?
- Tolmin vs Zidgrad Idrija is played on April 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Na Brajdi, in the 3. SNL - West.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.