Tolmin vs Zidgrad Idrija: prediction and stats
3. SNL - WestWest - 22Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Na Brajdi, Tolmin
The Footlab model makes Tolmin the favourite at 61%, against 21% for a draw and 18% for Zidgrad Idrija. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tolmin vs Zidgrad Idrija?
Tolmin starts as the favourite with a 123-point Elo edge (1,492 vs 1,369).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tolmin have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Zidgrad Idrija have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Šencur(away) | 3-3 | 3. SNL - West |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Dob(home) | 1-1 | 3. SNL - West |
| May 23, 2026 | Žiri(away) | 3-0 | 3. SNL - West |
| May 16, 2026 | Vipava(home) | 0-0 | 3. SNL - West |
| May 9, 2026 | Zidgrad Idrija(home) | 3-0 | 3. SNL - West |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | IB 1975 Ljubljana(away) | 2-0 | 3. SNL - West |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Svoboda(away) | 1-0 | 3. SNL - West |
| May 23, 2026 | Bistrc(away) | 3-3 | 3. SNL - West |
| May 17, 2026 | Žiri(home) | 0-0 | 3. SNL - West |
| May 9, 2026 | Tolmin(away) | 0-3 | 3. SNL - West |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Tolmin win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Zidgrad Idrija win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Tolmin 3-0 Zidgrad Idrija | 3. SNL - West |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Zidgrad Idrija 1-0 Tolmin | 3. SNL - West |
| Aug 28, 2024 | Zidgrad Idrija 1-2 Tolmin | Cup |
Last archived meeting: Tolmin vs Zidgrad Idrija on May 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Tolmin score 2.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Zidgrad Idrija score 0.9 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tolmin | 2.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Zidgrad Idrija | 0.9 | 2.0 | 5 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tolmin sit 8th in 3. SNL - West (2 points from 2 matches) and Zidgrad Idrija sit 2nd (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Zidgrad Idrija | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 8 | Tolmin | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tolmin vs Zidgrad Idrija?
- The Footlab model makes Tolmin the favourite at 61%, against 21% for a draw and 18% for Zidgrad Idrija.
- Where and when is Tolmin vs Zidgrad Idrija played?
- Tolmin vs Zidgrad Idrija is played on April 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Na Brajdi, in the 3. SNL - West.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.