Šobec Lesce vs Tolmin: prediction and stats
3. SNL - WestWest - 23Kick-off on May 1, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Štadion Na Žagi, Lesce
The Footlab AI model makes Tolmin the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Šobec Lesce. The most likely score is 1-1. If Tolmin wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,395 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Šobec Lesce vs Tolmin?
Tolmin starts as the favourite with a 161-point Elo edge (1,503 vs 1,342).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Šobec Lesce vs Tolmin
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Šobec Lesce
Not enough data to predict the Šobec Lesce lineup.
Tolmin
Not enough data to predict the Tolmin lineup.
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 11:20 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Šobec Lesce have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; Tolmin have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Šencur(home) | 0-0 | 3. SNL - West |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Dob(away) | 0-3 | 3. SNL - West |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Vipava(home) | 2-3 | 3. SNL - West |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Adria(away) | 0-2 | 3. SNL - West |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Litija(home) | 1-1 | 3. SNL - West |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Zidgrad Idrija(away) | 0-2 | 3. SNL - West |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Svoboda(home) | 2-0 | 3. SNL - West |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Rudar Trbovlje(home) | 5-1 | 3. SNL - West |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Izola(home) | 0-1 | 3. SNL - West |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Žiri(away) | 4-2 | 3. SNL - West |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Šobec Lesce win, 0 draws, 3 Tolmin wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Tolmin 1-0 Šobec Lesce | 3. SNL - West |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Šobec Lesce 3-0 Tolmin | 3. SNL - West |
| May 22, 2021 | Tolmin 6-0 Šobec Lesce | 3. SNL - West |
| Apr 24, 2021 | Šobec Lesce 1-5 Tolmin | 3. SNL - West |
Last archived meeting: Tolmin vs Šobec Lesce on Mar 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Šobec Lesce score 1.0 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Tolmin score 2.4 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Šobec Lesce | 1.0 | 1.9 | 2 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Tolmin | 2.4 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Šobec Lesce sit 13th in 3. SNL - West (4 points from 9 matches) and Tolmin sit 6th (15 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Tolmin | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 15 |
| 13 | Šobec Lesce | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 4 |
A question about Šobec Lesce vs Tolmin?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Šobec Lesce vs Tolmin?
- The Footlab AI model makes Tolmin the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Šobec Lesce.
- Where and when is Šobec Lesce vs Tolmin played?
- Šobec Lesce vs Tolmin is played on May 1, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Štadion Na Žagi, in the 3. SNL - West.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.