Toluca vs Atlas: result 3-2 and analysis
Copa MXRound of 16Kick-off on January 29, 2020 at 01:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Nemesio Díez, Toluca de Lerdo
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What was the result of Toluca vs Atlas?
Toluca won 3-2 on January 29, 2020.
Goalscorers
- 17′M. EstradaToluca
- 28′J. CorreaAtlas
- 49′G. ContiAtlas
- 77′Diego RigonatoToluca
- 87′J. GüémezToluca
- 120′L. FernándezToluca (pen.)
- 120′Jesús Antonio Isijara RodríguezAtlas (pen.)
- 120′A. CaneloToluca (pen.)
- 120′J. AbellaAtlas (pen.)
- 120′Diego RigonatoToluca (pen.)
- 120′R. RuízToluca (pen.)
- 120′É. ZaldívarAtlas (pen.)
- 120′J. GüémezToluca (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Toluca have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Atlas have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2020 | Guadalajara Chivas(away) | 2-2 | Liga MX |
| Jan 23, 2020 | Atlas(away) | 1-2 | Copa MX |
| Jan 19, 2020 | Necaxa(home) | 2-3 | Liga MX |
| Jan 11, 2020 | Monarcas(away) | 1-0 | Liga MX |
| Nov 24, 2019 | Santos Laguna(home) | 2-2 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2020 | Tigres UANL(away) | 1-2 | Liga MX |
| Jan 23, 2020 | Toluca(home) | 2-1 | Copa MX |
| Jan 18, 2020 | Puebla(home) | 0-1 | Liga MX |
| Jan 11, 2020 | Cruz Azul(away) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
| Nov 24, 2019 | Monterrey(away) | 0-2 | Liga MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Toluca win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Atlas win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2020 | Atlas 2-1 Toluca | Copa MX |
| Sep 21, 2019 | Atlas 0-1 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Mar 17, 2019 | Toluca 2-0 Atlas | Liga MX |
| Sep 29, 2018 | Atlas 2-0 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Jan 20, 2018 | Atlas 1-3 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Aug 6, 2017 | Toluca 3-2 Atlas | Liga MX |
How many goals should we expect?
Toluca score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Atlas score 1.1 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toluca | 1.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Atlas | 1.1 | 1.4 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy