Atlas vs Toluca: result 2-1 and analysis
Copa MXRound of 16Kick-off on January 23, 2020 at 03:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Jalisco, Guadalajara
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What was the result of Atlas vs Toluca?
Atlas won 2-1 on January 23, 2020.
Goalscorers
- 17′I. JeraldinoAtlas
- 22′É. ZaldívarAtlas
- 42′K. CastañedaToluca
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atlas have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Toluca have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2020 | Puebla(home) | 0-1 | Liga MX |
| Jan 11, 2020 | Cruz Azul(away) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
| Nov 24, 2019 | Monterrey(away) | 0-2 | Liga MX |
| Nov 7, 2019 | CF Pachuca(away) | 1-1 | Copa MX |
| Nov 2, 2019 | Atletico San Luis(home) | 1-2 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2020 | Necaxa(home) | 2-3 | Liga MX |
| Jan 11, 2020 | Monarcas(away) | 1-0 | Liga MX |
| Nov 24, 2019 | Santos Laguna(home) | 2-2 | Liga MX |
| Nov 10, 2019 | Leon(away) | 0-4 | Liga MX |
| Nov 3, 2019 | Guadalajara Chivas(home) | 1-3 | Liga MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Atlas win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Toluca win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 21, 2019 | Atlas 0-1 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Mar 17, 2019 | Toluca 2-0 Atlas | Liga MX |
| Sep 29, 2018 | Atlas 2-0 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Jan 20, 2018 | Atlas 1-3 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Aug 6, 2017 | Toluca 3-2 Atlas | Liga MX |
| Jan 8, 2017 | Toluca 4-1 Atlas | Liga MX |
How many goals should we expect?
Atlas score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Toluca score 1.4 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlas | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Toluca | 1.4 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy