Toluca vs CF Pachuca: result 1-5 and analysis
Liga MXApertura - FinalKick-off on October 28, 2022 at 01:06 AM (UTC)Estadio Nemesio Díez, Toluca de Lerdo
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What was the result of Toluca vs CF Pachuca?
CF Pachuca won 1-5 on October 28, 2022.
Goalscorers
- 8′R. IbarraCF Pachuca
- 13′G. CabralCF Pachuca
- 36′R. IbarraCF Pachuca
- 41′M. IsaísCF Pachuca
- 53′N. IbáñezCF Pachuca
- 78′J. SierraToluca
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Toluca have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; CF Pachuca have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2022 | Club America(away) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Oct 20, 2022 | Club America(home) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
| Oct 17, 2022 | Santos Laguna(away) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
| Oct 14, 2022 | Santos Laguna(home) | 4-3 | Liga MX |
| Oct 9, 2022 | FC Juarez(home) | 3-0 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2022 | Monterrey(away) | 1-0 | Liga MX |
| Oct 21, 2022 | Monterrey(home) | 5-2 | Liga MX |
| Oct 17, 2022 | Tigres UANL(home) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
| Oct 14, 2022 | Tigres UANL(away) | 0-1 | Liga MX |
| Oct 1, 2022 | Monterrey(away) | 0-0 | Liga MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Toluca win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 CF Pachuca win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 28, 2022 | Toluca 1-4 CF Pachuca | Liga MX |
| Mar 13, 2022 | Toluca 0-3 CF Pachuca | Liga MX |
| Sep 14, 2021 | CF Pachuca 1-2 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Mar 14, 2021 | Toluca 0-2 CF Pachuca | Liga MX |
| Sep 25, 2020 | CF Pachuca 0-0 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Feb 19, 2020 | Toluca 5-1 CF Pachuca | Copa MX |
How many goals should we expect?
Toluca score 1.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; CF Pachuca score 1.9 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toluca | 1.9 | 1.5 | 2 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
| CF Pachuca | 1.9 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Toluca sit 3rd in Liga MX (6 points from 3 matches) and CF Pachuca sit 13th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Toluca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Toluca | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 13 | CF Pachuca | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 15 | CF Pachuca | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy