Toluca vs CF Pachuca: result 1-4 and analysis
Liga MXApertura - 11Kick-off on August 28, 2022 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nemesio Díez, Toluca de Lerdo
Full time
What was the result of Toluca vs CF Pachuca?
CF Pachuca won 1-4 on August 28, 2022.
Goalscorers
- 15′I. HernándezCF Pachuca
- 24′I. HernándezCF Pachuca
- 63′J. MenesesToluca
- 73′PaulinoCF Pachuca
- 90′N. IbáñezCF Pachuca
Official lineup for Toluca vs CF Pachuca
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Toluca
4-3-3- 16J. Meneses
- 32C. González
- 10L. Fernández
- 14M. Ruiz
- 23C. Baeza
- 18F. Navarro
- 21B. Angulo
- 4V. Huerta
- 24H. Ortega
- 15J. Sierra
- 1Tiago Volpi
CF Pachuca
4-2-3-1- 90I. Hernández
- 18M. Hinestroza
- 6V. Guzmán
- 82J. Hernández
- 24L. Chávez
- 10É. Sánchez
- 85M. Isaís
- 23Ó. Murillo
- 22G. Cabral
- 2K. Álvarez
- 5Ó. Ustari
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Toluca have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; CF Pachuca have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2022 | Atletico San Luis(away) | 0-1 | Liga MX |
| Aug 18, 2022 | Monterrey(home) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Aug 14, 2022 | Cruz Azul(away) | 3-2 | Liga MX |
| Aug 7, 2022 | Club Tijuana(home) | 3-1 | Liga MX |
| Aug 3, 2022 | Puebla(home) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2022 | Atlas(home) | 3-1 | Liga MX |
| Aug 22, 2022 | Leon(home) | 1-0 | Liga MX |
| Aug 18, 2022 | Club America(home) | 0-3 | Liga MX |
| Aug 7, 2022 | Tigres UANL(home) | 2-0 | Liga MX |
| Jul 31, 2022 | Guadalajara Chivas(away) | 0-0 | Liga MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Toluca wins, 2 draws, 2 CF Pachuca wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2022 | Toluca 0-3 CF Pachuca | Liga MX |
| Sep 14, 2021 | CF Pachuca 1-2 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Mar 14, 2021 | Toluca 0-2 CF Pachuca | Liga MX |
| Sep 25, 2020 | CF Pachuca 0-0 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Feb 19, 2020 | Toluca 5-1 CF Pachuca | Copa MX |
| Feb 13, 2020 | CF Pachuca 2-2 Toluca | Copa MX |
How many goals should we expect?
Toluca score 1.6 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; CF Pachuca score 1.3 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toluca | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| CF Pachuca | 1.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Toluca sit 2nd in Liga MX (20 points from 11 matches) and CF Pachuca sit 11th (13 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Toluca | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 15 | 20 |
| 11 | CF Pachuca | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 13 |
A question about Toluca vs CF Pachuca?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy