Toluca vs Club Tijuana: result 0-1 and analysis
Liga MXApertura - 15Kick-off on October 30, 2016 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nemesio Díez, Toluca de Lerdo
Full time
What was the result of Toluca vs Club Tijuana?
Club Tijuana won 0-1 on October 30, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 72′G. HaucheClub Tijuana
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 14 matches in all competitions, Toluca have 5 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Club Tijuana have 9, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2016 | Monterrey(away) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Oct 16, 2016 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas(home) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
| Oct 2, 2016 | Necaxa(away) | 1-3 | Liga MX |
| Sep 25, 2016 | Leon(home) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Sep 21, 2016 | Cruz Azul(away) | 1-0 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2016 | Jaguares de Chiapas(home) | 2-0 | Liga MX |
| Oct 16, 2016 | Club America(away) | 0-1 | Liga MX |
| Oct 1, 2016 | Atlas(home) | 1-0 | Liga MX |
| Sep 25, 2016 | Santos Laguna(away) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
| Sep 22, 2016 | Club Queretaro(home) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
How many goals should we expect?
Toluca score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 14; Club Tijuana score 1.6 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toluca | 1.3 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/14 | 6/14 |
| Club Tijuana | 1.6 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/14 | 6/14 |
Over the last 14 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Toluca sit 3rd in Liga MX (6 points from 3 matches) and Club Tijuana sit 2nd (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Club Tijuana | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 7 |
| 3 | Toluca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Toluca | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 6 | Club Tijuana | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 10 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy