Toluca vs Leon: result 4-1 and analysis
Liga MXClausura - 5Kick-off on February 3, 2024 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nemesio Díez, Toluca de Lerdo
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What was the result of Toluca vs Leon?
Toluca won 4-1 on February 3, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 17′J. DomínguezToluca
- 24′F. PereiraToluca
- 30′M. AraújoToluca
- 47′N. LópezLeon
- 86′A. VegaToluca
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Toluca have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Leon have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2024 | Guadalajara Chivas(away) | 2-3 | Liga MX |
| Jan 27, 2024 | Puebla(away) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Jan 20, 2024 | Mazatlán(home) | 4-1 | Liga MX |
| Jan 13, 2024 | Club Queretaro(away) | 2-2 | Liga MX |
| Nov 11, 2023 | Mazatlán(away) | 0-1 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2024 | Mazatlán(away) | 2-2 | Liga MX |
| Jan 27, 2024 | Santos Laguna(home) | 3-2 | Liga MX |
| Jan 18, 2024 | Tigres UANL(home) | 1-2 | Liga MX |
| Dec 15, 2023 | Urawa(home) | 0-1 | FIFA Club World Cup |
| Dec 3, 2023 | Club America(away) | 0-2 | Liga MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Toluca win(s), 4 draw(s), 1 Leon win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2023 | Leon 1-0 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Jan 29, 2023 | Toluca 0-0 Leon | Liga MX |
| Jul 27, 2022 | Leon 0-1 Toluca | Liga MX |
| May 2, 2022 | Leon 4-4 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Oct 31, 2021 | Toluca 0-0 Leon | Liga MX |
| May 10, 2021 | Leon 2-2 Toluca | Liga MX |
How many goals should we expect?
Toluca score 1.7 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Leon score 1.6 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toluca | 1.7 | 1.4 | 1 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Leon | 1.6 | 1.7 | 2 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Toluca sit 3rd in Liga MX (6 points from 3 matches) and Leon sit 14th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Toluca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Toluca | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 8 | Leon | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 9 |
| 14 | Leon | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy