Toluca vs Leon: result 2-2 and analysis
Liga MXApertura - 15Kick-off on November 2, 2024 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nemesio Díez, Toluca de Lerdo
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What was the result of Toluca vs Leon?
Toluca and Leon drew 2-2 on November 2, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 15′S. MendozaLeon
- 57′J. AlvaradoLeon
- 60′PaulinhoToluca
- 87′PaulinhoToluca
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Toluca have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Leon have 3, 8 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2024 | Necaxa(away) | 3-1 | Liga MX |
| Oct 23, 2024 | Puebla(home) | 5-0 | Liga MX |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Club Queretaro(away) | 1-0 | Liga MX |
| Oct 6, 2024 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas(home) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Atlas(home) | 4-1 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2024 | Club Queretaro(home) | 4-0 | Liga MX |
| Oct 24, 2024 | Atlas(home) | 0-0 | Liga MX |
| Oct 20, 2024 | FC Juarez(away) | 3-2 | Liga MX |
| Oct 6, 2024 | Club America(home) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Tigres UANL(away) | 2-2 | Liga MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Toluca win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Leon win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2024 | Toluca 4-1 Leon | Liga MX |
| Oct 21, 2023 | Leon 1-0 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Jan 29, 2023 | Toluca 0-0 Leon | Liga MX |
| Jul 27, 2022 | Leon 0-1 Toluca | Liga MX |
| May 2, 2022 | Leon 4-4 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Oct 31, 2021 | Toluca 0-0 Leon | Liga MX |
How many goals should we expect?
Toluca score 2.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Leon score 1.3 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toluca | 2.2 | 1.1 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Leon | 1.3 | 1.2 | 4 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Toluca sit 3rd in Liga MX (6 points from 3 matches) and Leon sit 14th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Toluca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Toluca | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 8 | Leon | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 9 |
| 14 | Leon | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy